US-Iran ceasefire and nuclear negotiations have centered on uranium enrichment as the core impasse, with recent Islamabad talks collapsing after the US proposed a 20-year moratorium and Iran countered with a five-year suspension. No agreement was reached, but officials signal potential resumption amid diplomatic pressure, including Russia's offer to manage Iran's enriched uranium stockpile and IAEA demands for full verification access to bombed facilities. Traders' 66% yes probability reflects optimism that mounting incentives—sanctions relief, frozen assets release, and de-escalation post-2025 war—could yield a public Iranian commitment to end enrichment by year-end, though Tehran insists on its enrichment rights under the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$61,712 Hac.
$61,712 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$61,712 Hac.
$61,712 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. US-Iran ceasefire and nuclear negotiations have centered on uranium enrichment as the core impasse, with recent Islamabad talks collapsing after the US proposed a 20-year moratorium and Iran countered with a five-year suspension. No agreement was reached, but officials signal potential resumption amid diplomatic pressure, including Russia's offer to manage Iran's enriched uranium stockpile and IAEA demands for full verification access to bombed facilities. Traders' 66% yes probability reflects optimism that mounting incentives—sanctions relief, frozen assets release, and de-escalation post-2025 war—could yield a public Iranian commitment to end enrichment by year-end, though Tehran insists on its enrichment rights under the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Hacim
$61,712Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. US-Iran ceasefire and nuclear negotiations have centered on uranium enrichment as the core impasse, with recent Islamabad talks collapsing after the US proposed a 20-year moratorium and Iran countered with a five-year suspension. No agreement was reached, but officials signal potential resumption amid diplomatic pressure, including Russia's offer to manage Iran's enriched uranium stockpile and IAEA demands for full verification access to bombed facilities. Traders' 66% yes probability reflects optimism that mounting incentives—sanctions relief, frozen assets release, and de-escalation post-2025 war—could yield a public Iranian commitment to end enrichment by year-end, though Tehran insists on its enrichment rights under the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$61,712Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran ceasefire and nuclear negotiations have centered on uranium enrichment as the core impasse, with recent Islamabad talks collapsing after the US proposed a 20-year moratorium and Iran countered with a five-year suspension. No agreement was reached, but officials signal potential resumption amid diplomatic pressure, including Russia's offer to manage Iran's enriched uranium stockpile and IAEA demands for full verification access to bombed facilities. Traders' 66% yes probability reflects optimism that mounting incentives—sanctions relief, frozen assets release, and de-escalation post-2025 war—could yield a public Iranian commitment to end enrichment by year-end, though Tehran insists on its enrichment rights under the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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