Trader consensus favors two countries at 57%, reflecting confirmed Israeli airstrikes on Iran—targeting IRGC infrastructure and bridges early April amid the US-Israel campaign launched February 28—and extensive operations in Lebanon, including over 100 daily airstrikes on Beirut, southern regions, and Bekaa Valley through April 14, killing hundreds despite a fragile US-brokered ceasefire with Iran on April 7. The 37% on three countries stems from potential Syrian strikes, a routine theater for Israeli responses to proxy threats, while Yemen's Houthis launched missiles at Israel on April 1-2 without confirmed Israeli retaliation there yet. Netanyahu's April 9 statement signaling readiness to resume action against Iran, coupled with ongoing Hezbollah rocket barrages and Israel-Lebanon talks on April 14, sustains escalation risks through month's end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİsrail nisan ayında kaç ülkeye askeri harekat düzenleyecek?
İsrail nisan ayında kaç ülkeye askeri harekat düzenleyecek?
2 57%
3 37%
≥4 8%
$101,322 Hac.
$101,322 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
2
57%
3
37%
≥4
8%
2 57%
3 37%
≥4 8%
$101,322 Hac.
$101,322 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
2
$24,294 Hac.
57%
3
$30,032 Hac.
37%
≥4
$39,550 Hac.
8%
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors two countries at 57%, reflecting confirmed Israeli airstrikes on Iran—targeting IRGC infrastructure and bridges early April amid the US-Israel campaign launched February 28—and extensive operations in Lebanon, including over 100 daily airstrikes on Beirut, southern regions, and Bekaa Valley through April 14, killing hundreds despite a fragile US-brokered ceasefire with Iran on April 7. The 37% on three countries stems from potential Syrian strikes, a routine theater for Israeli responses to proxy threats, while Yemen's Houthis launched missiles at Israel on April 1-2 without confirmed Israeli retaliation there yet. Netanyahu's April 9 statement signaling readiness to resume action against Iran, coupled with ongoing Hezbollah rocket barrages and Israel-Lebanon talks on April 14, sustains escalation risks through month's end.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 27, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Hacim
$101,322Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors two countries at 57%, reflecting confirmed Israeli airstrikes on Iran—targeting IRGC infrastructure and bridges early April amid the US-Israel campaign launched February 28—and extensive operations in Lebanon, including over 100 daily airstrikes on Beirut, southern regions, and Bekaa Valley through April 14, killing hundreds despite a fragile US-brokered ceasefire with Iran on April 7. The 37% on three countries stems from potential Syrian strikes, a routine theater for Israeli responses to proxy threats, while Yemen's Houthis launched missiles at Israel on April 1-2 without confirmed Israeli retaliation there yet. Netanyahu's April 9 statement signaling readiness to resume action against Iran, coupled with ongoing Hezbollah rocket barrages and Israel-Lebanon talks on April 14, sustains escalation risks through month's end.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$101,322Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors two countries at 57%, reflecting confirmed Israeli airstrikes on Iran—targeting IRGC infrastructure and bridges early April amid the US-Israel campaign launched February 28—and extensive operations in Lebanon, including over 100 daily airstrikes on Beirut, southern regions, and Bekaa Valley through April 14, killing hundreds despite a fragile US-brokered ceasefire with Iran on April 7. The 37% on three countries stems from potential Syrian strikes, a routine theater for Israeli responses to proxy threats, while Yemen's Houthis launched missiles at Israel on April 1-2 without confirmed Israeli retaliation there yet. Netanyahu's April 9 statement signaling readiness to resume action against Iran, coupled with ongoing Hezbollah rocket barrages and Israel-Lebanon talks on April 14, sustains escalation risks through month's end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular