Russian forces have intensified ground assaults in the Kupyansk direction near Kharkiv Oblast throughout early 2026, targeting villages like Myrove (also known as Moskovka), but ISW maps show no confirmed territorial gains inside the settlement as of April 8. Ukrainian troops have held firm, launching counterattacks from Myrove and nearby Sobolivka amid ongoing fighting, following their December 2025 reclamation of areas northwest of Kupyansk previously contested by Russian advances. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in this fluid frontline, where incremental Russian pressure via assaults and artillery duels contends with Ukrainian drone strikes and defensive reinforcements. No major breakthroughs reported in the past week; resolution hinges on persistent Russian control per ISW updates before the market deadline.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiWill Russia enter Moskovka by...?
Will Russia enter Moskovka by...?
April 30
10%
May 31
16%
$126 Hac.
April 30
10%
May 31
16%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have intensified ground assaults in the Kupyansk direction near Kharkiv Oblast throughout early 2026, targeting villages like Myrove (also known as Moskovka), but ISW maps show no confirmed territorial gains inside the settlement as of April 8. Ukrainian troops have held firm, launching counterattacks from Myrove and nearby Sobolivka amid ongoing fighting, following their December 2025 reclamation of areas northwest of Kupyansk previously contested by Russian advances. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty in this fluid frontline, where incremental Russian pressure via assaults and artillery duels contends with Ukrainian drone strikes and defensive reinforcements. No major breakthroughs reported in the past week; resolution hinges on persistent Russian control per ISW updates before the market deadline.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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