Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a "No" outcome at 58% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts amid core disagreements over territory, security guarantees, and demilitarization. The most recent development—a 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce from April 11-12, reciprocated by Presidents Putin and Zelenskyy—saw mutual accusations of hundreds of violations, underscoring persistent mistrust despite a goodwill prisoner swap of 175 servicemen each. U.S.-mediated talks remain paused per Kremlin statements, hampered by Ukraine's refusal to cede eastern territories and Russia's spring offensive advances, with officials on both sides describing negotiations as protracted without imminent breakthroughs, leaving escalation or frozen conflict as likely scenarios.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi30 Haziran 2027 'ye kadar Rusya x Ukrayna ateşkesi?
30 Haziran 2027 'ye kadar Rusya x Ukrayna ateşkesi?
Evet
$15,138 Hac.
$15,138 Hac.
30 Haz 2027
Evet
$15,138 Hac.
$15,138 Hac.
30 Haz 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a "No" outcome at 58% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts amid core disagreements over territory, security guarantees, and demilitarization. The most recent development—a 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce from April 11-12, reciprocated by Presidents Putin and Zelenskyy—saw mutual accusations of hundreds of violations, underscoring persistent mistrust despite a goodwill prisoner swap of 175 servicemen each. U.S.-mediated talks remain paused per Kremlin statements, hampered by Ukraine's refusal to cede eastern territories and Russia's spring offensive advances, with officials on both sides describing negotiations as protracted without imminent breakthroughs, leaving escalation or frozen conflict as likely scenarios.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 1, 2026, 2:20 PM ET
Hacim
$15,138Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 1, 2026, 2:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a "No" outcome at 58% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts amid core disagreements over territory, security guarantees, and demilitarization. The most recent development—a 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce from April 11-12, reciprocated by Presidents Putin and Zelenskyy—saw mutual accusations of hundreds of violations, underscoring persistent mistrust despite a goodwill prisoner swap of 175 servicemen each. U.S.-mediated talks remain paused per Kremlin statements, hampered by Ukraine's refusal to cede eastern territories and Russia's spring offensive advances, with officials on both sides describing negotiations as protracted without imminent breakthroughs, leaving escalation or frozen conflict as likely scenarios.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Hacim
$15,138Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 1, 2026, 2:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a "No" outcome at 58% for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027, reflecting stalled diplomatic efforts amid core disagreements over territory, security guarantees, and demilitarization. The most recent development—a 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce from April 11-12, reciprocated by Presidents Putin and Zelenskyy—saw mutual accusations of hundreds of violations, underscoring persistent mistrust despite a goodwill prisoner swap of 175 servicemen each. U.S.-mediated talks remain paused per Kremlin statements, hampered by Ukraine's refusal to cede eastern territories and Russia's spring offensive advances, with officials on both sides describing negotiations as protracted without imminent breakthroughs, leaving escalation or frozen conflict as likely scenarios.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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