President Zelenskyy's firm rejections of territorial concessions—including Donbas and Crimea—drive the 83.5% "No" trader consensus on Ukraine agreeing to cede land to Russia before 2027. In recent talks, including an Easter truce on April 12 marred by mutual breach accusations, negotiations stalled over Moscow's demands for full control of occupied regions, while Kyiv insists on troop withdrawal and security guarantees. U.S. proposals linking aid to Donbas cessions, reported in late March, met Zelenskyy's resistance, who warned concessions invite further aggression. Constitutional hurdles requiring wartime referendums and sustained Western support bolster expectations of impasse through 2026.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiUkrayna, 2027 'den önce topraklarını Rusya'ya devretmeyi kabul edecek mi?
Ukrayna, 2027 'den önce topraklarını Rusya'ya devretmeyi kabul edecek mi?
Evet
$548,246 Hac.
$548,246 Hac.
Evet
$548,246 Hac.
$548,246 Hac.
The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The deal must be a publicly announced mutual agreement or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Only territory ceded as part of a diplomatic process or agreement will qualify.
If a territorial adjustment is made as part of a mutual border demarcation process or technical boundary agreement that does not materially alter de facto control or reflect a broader territorial concession, it will not qualify for a 'Yes' resolution unless it is reported as a territorial concession by a consensus of credible reporting.
Any agreement which cedes de facto military control of territory held by Ukraine will qualify regardless of whether Ukraine formally maintains its claim to sovereignty. For example, the 1999 Kumanovo Military Technical Agreement, in which Yugoslavia agreed to pull military forces out of Kosovo but did not recognize Kosovo’s autonomy or independence would qualify for a 'Yes' resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by Ukraine and/or the Russian Federation, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Zelenskyy's firm rejections of territorial concessions—including Donbas and Crimea—drive the 83.5% "No" trader consensus on Ukraine agreeing to cede land to Russia before 2027. In recent talks, including an Easter truce on April 12 marred by mutual breach accusations, negotiations stalled over Moscow's demands for full control of occupied regions, while Kyiv insists on troop withdrawal and security guarantees. U.S. proposals linking aid to Donbas cessions, reported in late March, met Zelenskyy's resistance, who warned concessions invite further aggression. Constitutional hurdles requiring wartime referendums and sustained Western support bolster expectations of impasse through 2026.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
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