Trader consensus reflects near-certainty against a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by martial law's suspension of elections, vigilant Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) operations that foiled prior pro-Russian plots, and unified leadership focus amid the ongoing Russian invasion. Zelenskyy's April 10 warning of intense spring-summer diplomatic and political pressures, alongside February polls showing war fatigue and mobilization resistance, has not produced verifiable military dissent or elite fractures since thwarting Russia's March offensive. Absent major battlefield collapses, high-level defections, scandals, or sudden command breakdowns, such an event remains improbable before resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiYENİ
YENİ
30 Haz 2026
YENİ
YENİ
30 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty against a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by martial law's suspension of elections, vigilant Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) operations that foiled prior pro-Russian plots, and unified leadership focus amid the ongoing Russian invasion. Zelenskyy's April 10 warning of intense spring-summer diplomatic and political pressures, alongside February polls showing war fatigue and mobilization resistance, has not produced verifiable military dissent or elite fractures since thwarting Russia's March offensive. Absent major battlefield collapses, high-level defections, scandals, or sudden command breakdowns, such an event remains improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Hacim
$8,846Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty against a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by martial law's suspension of elections, vigilant Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) operations that foiled prior pro-Russian plots, and unified leadership focus amid the ongoing Russian invasion. Zelenskyy's April 10 warning of intense spring-summer diplomatic and political pressures, alongside February polls showing war fatigue and mobilization resistance, has not produced verifiable military dissent or elite fractures since thwarting Russia's March offensive. Absent major battlefield collapses, high-level defections, scandals, or sudden command breakdowns, such an event remains improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$8,846Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty against a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by martial law's suspension of elections, vigilant Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) operations that foiled prior pro-Russian plots, and unified leadership focus amid the ongoing Russian invasion. Zelenskyy's April 10 warning of intense spring-summer diplomatic and political pressures, alongside February polls showing war fatigue and mobilization resistance, has not produced verifiable military dissent or elite fractures since thwarting Russia's March offensive. Absent major battlefield collapses, high-level defections, scandals, or sudden command breakdowns, such an event remains improbable before resolution.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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