Stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks, paused by U.S. priorities shifting to an Iran ceasefire, drive the closely contested 52.5% implied probability for a truce by end-2027, reflecting trader consensus on prolonged stalemate amid battlefield attrition. February's U.S.-brokered Geneva trilateral meetings and Zelenskyy's March Easter truce offer failed to advance diplomacy, clashing with Russia's demands for Ukrainian Donbas withdrawal and its spring offensive escalation. Ukrainian innovations like robot-led advances counter Russian strikes, preserving balance. Tipping factors include resumed Trump administration mediation post-Middle East, aid fluctuations before U.S. midterms, or winter resource depletion forcing de-escalation negotiations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi2027 'nin sonuna kadar Rusya x Ukrayna ateşkesi?
2027 'nin sonuna kadar Rusya x Ukrayna ateşkesi?
Evet
$21,486 Hac.
$21,486 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
Evet
$21,486 Hac.
$21,486 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks, paused by U.S. priorities shifting to an Iran ceasefire, drive the closely contested 52.5% implied probability for a truce by end-2027, reflecting trader consensus on prolonged stalemate amid battlefield attrition. February's U.S.-brokered Geneva trilateral meetings and Zelenskyy's March Easter truce offer failed to advance diplomacy, clashing with Russia's demands for Ukrainian Donbas withdrawal and its spring offensive escalation. Ukrainian innovations like robot-led advances counter Russian strikes, preserving balance. Tipping factors include resumed Trump administration mediation post-Middle East, aid fluctuations before U.S. midterms, or winter resource depletion forcing de-escalation negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Hacim
$21,486Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks, paused by U.S. priorities shifting to an Iran ceasefire, drive the closely contested 52.5% implied probability for a truce by end-2027, reflecting trader consensus on prolonged stalemate amid battlefield attrition. February's U.S.-brokered Geneva trilateral meetings and Zelenskyy's March Easter truce offer failed to advance diplomacy, clashing with Russia's demands for Ukrainian Donbas withdrawal and its spring offensive escalation. Ukrainian innovations like robot-led advances counter Russian strikes, preserving balance. Tipping factors include resumed Trump administration mediation post-Middle East, aid fluctuations before U.S. midterms, or winter resource depletion forcing de-escalation negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Hacim
$21,486Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 1, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks, paused by U.S. priorities shifting to an Iran ceasefire, drive the closely contested 52.5% implied probability for a truce by end-2027, reflecting trader consensus on prolonged stalemate amid battlefield attrition. February's U.S.-brokered Geneva trilateral meetings and Zelenskyy's March Easter truce offer failed to advance diplomacy, clashing with Russia's demands for Ukrainian Donbas withdrawal and its spring offensive escalation. Ukrainian innovations like robot-led advances counter Russian strikes, preserving balance. Tipping factors include resumed Trump administration mediation post-Middle East, aid fluctuations before U.S. midterms, or winter resource depletion forcing de-escalation negotiations.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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