Russian forces launched one of their largest aerial assaults on Ukraine overnight April 14-15, firing over 700 drones and missiles at cities including Kyiv, Odesa, and Dnipro, killing at least 16 civilians and injuring dozens amid mutual accusations of ceasefire violations during the recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce on April 11-12. This escalation, following stalled US-Ukraine-Russia talks paused since mid-March due to Middle East conflicts, underscores entrenched military postures with no substantive peace negotiations resuming. Trader consensus at 91.5% "No" reflects the absence of de-escalation signals, ongoing spring offensives, and historical patterns where short truces failed to yield broader agreements, though late diplomatic breakthroughs or external pressures could shift dynamics before June 30.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi30 Haziran 2026 'ya kadar Rusya x Ukrayna ateşkesi?
30 Haziran 2026 'ya kadar Rusya x Ukrayna ateşkesi?
Evet
$6,123,763 Hac.
$6,123,763 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
Evet
$6,123,763 Hac.
$6,123,763 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Russian forces launched one of their largest aerial assaults on Ukraine overnight April 14-15, firing over 700 drones and missiles at cities including Kyiv, Odesa, and Dnipro, killing at least 16 civilians and injuring dozens amid mutual accusations of ceasefire violations during the recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce on April 11-12. This escalation, following stalled US-Ukraine-Russia talks paused since mid-March due to Middle East conflicts, underscores entrenched military postures with no substantive peace negotiations resuming. Trader consensus at 91.5% "No" reflects the absence of de-escalation signals, ongoing spring offensives, and historical patterns where short truces failed to yield broader agreements, though late diplomatic breakthroughs or external pressures could shift dynamics before June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 13, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Hacim
$6,123,763Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 13, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.Russian forces launched one of their largest aerial assaults on Ukraine overnight April 14-15, firing over 700 drones and missiles at cities including Kyiv, Odesa, and Dnipro, killing at least 16 civilians and injuring dozens amid mutual accusations of ceasefire violations during the recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce on April 11-12. This escalation, following stalled US-Ukraine-Russia talks paused since mid-March due to Middle East conflicts, underscores entrenched military postures with no substantive peace negotiations resuming. Trader consensus at 91.5% "No" reflects the absence of de-escalation signals, ongoing spring offensives, and historical patterns where short truces failed to yield broader agreements, though late diplomatic breakthroughs or external pressures could shift dynamics before June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
Hacim
$6,123,763Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 13, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces launched one of their largest aerial assaults on Ukraine overnight April 14-15, firing over 700 drones and missiles at cities including Kyiv, Odesa, and Dnipro, killing at least 16 civilians and injuring dozens amid mutual accusations of ceasefire violations during the recent 32-hour Orthodox Easter truce on April 11-12. This escalation, following stalled US-Ukraine-Russia talks paused since mid-March due to Middle East conflicts, underscores entrenched military postures with no substantive peace negotiations resuming. Trader consensus at 91.5% "No" reflects the absence of de-escalation signals, ongoing spring offensives, and historical patterns where short truces failed to yield broader agreements, though late diplomatic breakthroughs or external pressures could shift dynamics before June 30.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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