Trader consensus heavily favors no peace deal between Ukraine and Russia by June 30, driven by persistent core disagreements over territorial concessions in Donbas and security guarantees, despite recent US-mediated talks. Ukraine's top negotiator Kyrylo Budanov expressed optimism on April 10 that negotiations are progressing as both sides recognize the war's toll, but Russia insists on full capitulation preconditions amid its spring offensive and mutual accusations of Easter truce violations last week. Earlier February US deadline for a summer resolution has yielded only temporary ceasefires and stalled Florida-Geneva rounds, with ongoing airstrikes and battlefield gains reinforcing doubts about a comprehensive agreement in the next 2.5 months absent a major diplomatic breakthrough.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$94,170 Hac.
$94,170 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
Evet
$94,170 Hac.
$94,170 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus heavily favors no peace deal between Ukraine and Russia by June 30, driven by persistent core disagreements over territorial concessions in Donbas and security guarantees, despite recent US-mediated talks. Ukraine's top negotiator Kyrylo Budanov expressed optimism on April 10 that negotiations are progressing as both sides recognize the war's toll, but Russia insists on full capitulation preconditions amid its spring offensive and mutual accusations of Easter truce violations last week. Earlier February US deadline for a summer resolution has yielded only temporary ceasefires and stalled Florida-Geneva rounds, with ongoing airstrikes and battlefield gains reinforcing doubts about a comprehensive agreement in the next 2.5 months absent a major diplomatic breakthrough.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ET
Hacim
$94,170Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus heavily favors no peace deal between Ukraine and Russia by June 30, driven by persistent core disagreements over territorial concessions in Donbas and security guarantees, despite recent US-mediated talks. Ukraine's top negotiator Kyrylo Budanov expressed optimism on April 10 that negotiations are progressing as both sides recognize the war's toll, but Russia insists on full capitulation preconditions amid its spring offensive and mutual accusations of Easter truce violations last week. Earlier February US deadline for a summer resolution has yielded only temporary ceasefires and stalled Florida-Geneva rounds, with ongoing airstrikes and battlefield gains reinforcing doubts about a comprehensive agreement in the next 2.5 months absent a major diplomatic breakthrough.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$94,170Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 17, 2025, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no peace deal between Ukraine and Russia by June 30, driven by persistent core disagreements over territorial concessions in Donbas and security guarantees, despite recent US-mediated talks. Ukraine's top negotiator Kyrylo Budanov expressed optimism on April 10 that negotiations are progressing as both sides recognize the war's toll, but Russia insists on full capitulation preconditions amid its spring offensive and mutual accusations of Easter truce violations last week. Earlier February US deadline for a summer resolution has yielded only temporary ceasefires and stalled Florida-Geneva rounds, with ongoing airstrikes and battlefield gains reinforcing doubts about a comprehensive agreement in the next 2.5 months absent a major diplomatic breakthrough.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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