North Korea's frequent ballistic and cruise missile tests throughout early 2026, including a salvo of short-range ballistic missiles on April 8 and cruise/anti-ship launches from the new 5,000-ton destroyer Choe Hyon on April 13 observed by Kim Jong Un, have driven trader consensus to price a "Yes" outcome at 77%, reflecting Pyongyang's accelerated weapons demonstrations amid heightened Korean Peninsula tensions. South Korea detected multiple projectiles in recent days, following March's ICBM engine test and multiple rocket launcher firings, underscoring a pattern of near-weekly activity that violates UN Security Council resolutions. With no de-escalation signals and historical precedents of sustained testing cycles, markets anticipate further launches before April 30, though diplomatic breakthroughs or internal delays could shift odds.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiNorth Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...North Korea's frequent ballistic and cruise missile tests throughout early 2026, including a salvo of short-range ballistic missiles on April 8 and cruise/anti-ship launches from the new 5,000-ton destroyer Choe Hyon on April 13 observed by Kim Jong Un, have driven trader consensus to price a "Yes" outcome at 77%, reflecting Pyongyang's accelerated weapons demonstrations amid heightened Korean Peninsula tensions. South Korea detected multiple projectiles in recent days, following March's ICBM engine test and multiple rocket launcher firings, underscoring a pattern of near-weekly activity that violates UN Security Council resolutions. With no de-escalation signals and historical precedents of sustained testing cycles, markets anticipate further launches before April 30, though diplomatic breakthroughs or internal delays could shift odds.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular