Amid an expiring U.S.-Iran ceasefire set to lapse next week, diplomats are intensifying backchannel efforts via Pakistani mediation for a second round of direct talks following the collapse of marathon Islamabad negotiations on April 11-14 that yielded no deal after 21 hours. The U.S. has enforced a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian ports to pressure Tehran on nuclear curbs and regional proxies, heightening escalation risks while White House officials express optimism for progress. No date or venue is confirmed for new diplomacy, with potential U.S. participants including Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Vice President JD Vance, as traders weigh de-escalation signals against sticking points like sanctions relief.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiABD x İran diplomatik toplantısı...?
ABD x İran diplomatik toplantısı...?
$1,071,515 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
15 Nisan
<1%
16 Nisan
1%
17 Nisan
5%
18 Nisan
18%
22 Nisan
68%
30 Nisan
90%
$1,071,515 Hac.
15 Nisan
$74,657 Hac.
<1%
16 Nisan
$86,107 Hac.
1%
17 Nisan
$38,780 Hac.
5%
18 Nisan
$533,164 Hac.
18%
22 Nisan
$223,902 Hac.
68%
30 Nisan
$115,481 Hac.
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid an expiring U.S.-Iran ceasefire set to lapse next week, diplomats are intensifying backchannel efforts via Pakistani mediation for a second round of direct talks following the collapse of marathon Islamabad negotiations on April 11-14 that yielded no deal after 21 hours. The U.S. has enforced a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian ports to pressure Tehran on nuclear curbs and regional proxies, heightening escalation risks while White House officials express optimism for progress. No date or venue is confirmed for new diplomacy, with potential U.S. participants including Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Vice President JD Vance, as traders weigh de-escalation signals against sticking points like sanctions relief.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Hacim
$1,071,515Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid an expiring U.S.-Iran ceasefire set to lapse next week, diplomats are intensifying backchannel efforts via Pakistani mediation for a second round of direct talks following the collapse of marathon Islamabad negotiations on April 11-14 that yielded no deal after 21 hours. The U.S. has enforced a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian ports to pressure Tehran on nuclear curbs and regional proxies, heightening escalation risks while White House officials express optimism for progress. No date or venue is confirmed for new diplomacy, with potential U.S. participants including Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Vice President JD Vance, as traders weigh de-escalation signals against sticking points like sanctions relief.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$1,071,515Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid an expiring U.S.-Iran ceasefire set to lapse next week, diplomats are intensifying backchannel efforts via Pakistani mediation for a second round of direct talks following the collapse of marathon Islamabad negotiations on April 11-14 that yielded no deal after 21 hours. The U.S. has enforced a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and Iranian ports to pressure Tehran on nuclear curbs and regional proxies, heightening escalation risks while White House officials express optimism for progress. No date or venue is confirmed for new diplomacy, with potential U.S. participants including Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Vice President JD Vance, as traders weigh de-escalation signals against sticking points like sanctions relief.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular