Trader consensus gives a 96.5% implied probability to Putin remaining Russian president through June 30, reflecting his entrenched control via constitutional amendments allowing rule until at least 2030 and firm grip on security services, military, and elite circles. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days—such as official health disclosures, impeachment moves, or coup signals—have altered this, despite unsubstantiated social media rumors of absences or illness; Putin issued recent statements on oil markets and economic slowdowns as recently as March. Scenarios that could shift odds include a sudden health crisis, elite defections sparking no-confidence action, or major military reversals eroding loyalty, though historical patterns underscore regime resilience.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$1,209,887 Hac.
$1,209,887 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
Evet
$1,209,887 Hac.
$1,209,887 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus gives a 96.5% implied probability to Putin remaining Russian president through June 30, reflecting his entrenched control via constitutional amendments allowing rule until at least 2030 and firm grip on security services, military, and elite circles. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days—such as official health disclosures, impeachment moves, or coup signals—have altered this, despite unsubstantiated social media rumors of absences or illness; Putin issued recent statements on oil markets and economic slowdowns as recently as March. Scenarios that could shift odds include a sudden health crisis, elite defections sparking no-confidence action, or major military reversals eroding loyalty, though historical patterns underscore regime resilience.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Hacim
$1,209,887Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus gives a 96.5% implied probability to Putin remaining Russian president through June 30, reflecting his entrenched control via constitutional amendments allowing rule until at least 2030 and firm grip on security services, military, and elite circles. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days—such as official health disclosures, impeachment moves, or coup signals—have altered this, despite unsubstantiated social media rumors of absences or illness; Putin issued recent statements on oil markets and economic slowdowns as recently as March. Scenarios that could shift odds include a sudden health crisis, elite defections sparking no-confidence action, or major military reversals eroding loyalty, though historical patterns underscore regime resilience.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$1,209,887Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus gives a 96.5% implied probability to Putin remaining Russian president through June 30, reflecting his entrenched control via constitutional amendments allowing rule until at least 2030 and firm grip on security services, military, and elite circles. No verifiable developments in the past 30 days—such as official health disclosures, impeachment moves, or coup signals—have altered this, despite unsubstantiated social media rumors of absences or illness; Putin issued recent statements on oil markets and economic slowdowns as recently as March. Scenarios that could shift odds include a sudden health crisis, elite defections sparking no-confidence action, or major military reversals eroding loyalty, though historical patterns underscore regime resilience.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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