Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Trump-Putin summit by June 30 (80%), reflecting the absence of any announced plans amid ongoing Ukraine war stalemate and U.S.-Iran conflict tensions. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov explicitly denied a meeting during overlapping China visits on April 15, despite Trump's confirmed May 14-15 trip to Beijing for Xi Jinping talks and Putin's prospective mid-May journey there. Recent diplomacy has limited itself to March phone calls between the leaders on Ukraine and Iran, plus a Russian envoy's April U.S. meetings with Trump administration officials—insufficient for scheduling a high-stakes in-person venue. Low odds on China (4%) or neutral sites like Turkey stem from unconfirmed speculation, with traders awaiting breakthroughs like peace proposals or sanctions relief to shift dynamics before the deadline.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi30 Haziran'a kadar görüşme yok 80.6%
Çin 4.0%
Başka bir AB ülkesi 2.6%
Rusya 2.0%
$4,943,952 Hac.
$4,943,952 Hac.
30 Haziran'a kadar görüşme yok
81%
Çin
4%
Başka bir AB ülkesi
3%
Rusya
2%
Körfez ülkesi
2%
Diğer
2%
Türkiye
1%
Amerika Birleşik Devletleri
1%
İsviçre
1%
Belarus
1%
Ukrayna
<1%
Finlandiya
<1%
Japonya
<1%
Güney Kore
<1%
Avustralya
<1%
30 Haziran'a kadar görüşme yok 80.6%
Çin 4.0%
Başka bir AB ülkesi 2.6%
Rusya 2.0%
$4,943,952 Hac.
$4,943,952 Hac.
30 Haziran'a kadar görüşme yok
81%
Çin
4%
Başka bir AB ülkesi
3%
Rusya
2%
Körfez ülkesi
2%
Diğer
2%
Türkiye
1%
Amerika Birleşik Devletleri
1%
İsviçre
1%
Belarus
1%
Ukrayna
<1%
Finlandiya
<1%
Japonya
<1%
Güney Kore
<1%
Avustralya
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Trump-Putin summit by June 30 (80%), reflecting the absence of any announced plans amid ongoing Ukraine war stalemate and U.S.-Iran conflict tensions. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov explicitly denied a meeting during overlapping China visits on April 15, despite Trump's confirmed May 14-15 trip to Beijing for Xi Jinping talks and Putin's prospective mid-May journey there. Recent diplomacy has limited itself to March phone calls between the leaders on Ukraine and Iran, plus a Russian envoy's April U.S. meetings with Trump administration officials—insufficient for scheduling a high-stakes in-person venue. Low odds on China (4%) or neutral sites like Turkey stem from unconfirmed speculation, with traders awaiting breakthroughs like peace proposals or sanctions relief to shift dynamics before the deadline.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular