Trader consensus prices a strong showing for United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma elections, with 30% implying 355+ seats and 28.5% for 340–354 amid 450 total seats split evenly between proportional representation and single-member districts. Recent polls capture this tension: FOM surveys from early April show 35% party-list support, while state-linked WCIOM readings hover at 29–30%, reflecting economic pressures like rising food and utility prices that eroded ratings earlier this year per Kremlin sources. Bolstering odds are United Russia's administrative dominance, improved 2025 regional results averaging 17 percentage points higher than prior cycles, and preparations including primaries, leadership centralization under Dmitry Medvedev, and top-list inclusions like Sergei Lavrov and war veterans. Internal challenges such as deputy scandals and veteran integration resistance, plus electoral tools like expanded electronic voting, keep the race tight; clearer primary outcomes or economic shifts could widen separation toward supermajority territory.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiHow many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
355+ 30%
340–354 29%
325–339 15%
310–324 14.2%
$10,091 Hac.
$10,091 Hac.
20 Eyl 2026
<280
4%
280–294
2%
295–309
12%
310–324
14%
325–339
15%
340–354
29%
355+
30%
355+ 30%
340–354 29%
325–339 15%
310–324 14.2%
$10,091 Hac.
$10,091 Hac.
20 Eyl 2026
<280
$567 Hac.
4%
280–294
$616 Hac.
2%
295–309
$930 Hac.
12%
310–324
$572 Hac.
14%
325–339
$395 Hac.
15%
340–354
$451 Hac.
29%
355+
$6,561 Hac.
30%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus prices a strong showing for United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma elections, with 30% implying 355+ seats and 28.5% for 340–354 amid 450 total seats split evenly between proportional representation and single-member districts. Recent polls capture this tension: FOM surveys from early April show 35% party-list support, while state-linked WCIOM readings hover at 29–30%, reflecting economic pressures like rising food and utility prices that eroded ratings earlier this year per Kremlin sources. Bolstering odds are United Russia's administrative dominance, improved 2025 regional results averaging 17 percentage points higher than prior cycles, and preparations including primaries, leadership centralization under Dmitry Medvedev, and top-list inclusions like Sergei Lavrov and war veterans. Internal challenges such as deputy scandals and veteran integration resistance, plus electoral tools like expanded electronic voting, keep the race tight; clearer primary outcomes or economic shifts could widen separation toward supermajority territory.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Hacim
$10,091Bitiş Tarihi
20 Eyl 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus prices a strong showing for United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma elections, with 30% implying 355+ seats and 28.5% for 340–354 amid 450 total seats split evenly between proportional representation and single-member districts. Recent polls capture this tension: FOM surveys from early April show 35% party-list support, while state-linked WCIOM readings hover at 29–30%, reflecting economic pressures like rising food and utility prices that eroded ratings earlier this year per Kremlin sources. Bolstering odds are United Russia's administrative dominance, improved 2025 regional results averaging 17 percentage points higher than prior cycles, and preparations including primaries, leadership centralization under Dmitry Medvedev, and top-list inclusions like Sergei Lavrov and war veterans. Internal challenges such as deputy scandals and veteran integration resistance, plus electoral tools like expanded electronic voting, keep the race tight; clearer primary outcomes or economic shifts could widen separation toward supermajority territory.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Hacim
$10,091Bitiş Tarihi
20 Eyl 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a strong showing for United Russia in the September 2026 State Duma elections, with 30% implying 355+ seats and 28.5% for 340–354 amid 450 total seats split evenly between proportional representation and single-member districts. Recent polls capture this tension: FOM surveys from early April show 35% party-list support, while state-linked WCIOM readings hover at 29–30%, reflecting economic pressures like rising food and utility prices that eroded ratings earlier this year per Kremlin sources. Bolstering odds are United Russia's administrative dominance, improved 2025 regional results averaging 17 percentage points higher than prior cycles, and preparations including primaries, leadership centralization under Dmitry Medvedev, and top-list inclusions like Sergei Lavrov and war veterans. Internal challenges such as deputy scandals and veteran integration resistance, plus electoral tools like expanded electronic voting, keep the race tight; clearer primary outcomes or economic shifts could widen separation toward supermajority territory.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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