With over 98% of precincts reporting from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, the National Election Office shows Péter Magyar's Tisza party securing 52.10% of the party list vote—precisely in the 50-54% range commanding 94.4% trader consensus—while Fidesz trails at 39.56% amid record 79.56% turnout that propelled the opposition to a two-thirds supermajority. Pre-election polls from early April, including AtlasIntel at 52.1% and Medián at 55.5%, accurately forecasted this outcome, reflecting widespread discontent with Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule after his concession speech. President Tamás Sulyok's April 15 consultations signal swift government formation, though minor far-right challenges to results or final overseas tallies represent slim scenarios for shifts exceeding 54% or dropping below 50%.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi%50-54 94.4%
%54+ 4.6%
%42'den az <1%
%42-46 <1%
$570,113 Hac.
$570,113 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
%42'den az
<1%
%42-46
<1%
%46-50
<1%
%50-54
94%
%54+
5%
%50-54 94.4%
%54+ 4.6%
%42'den az <1%
%42-46 <1%
$570,113 Hac.
$570,113 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
%42'den az
$34,353 Hac.
<1%
%42-46
$21,294 Hac.
<1%
%46-50
$28,769 Hac.
<1%
%50-54
$85,147 Hac.
94%
%54+
$400,548 Hac.
5%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.With over 98% of precincts reporting from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, the National Election Office shows Péter Magyar's Tisza party securing 52.10% of the party list vote—precisely in the 50-54% range commanding 94.4% trader consensus—while Fidesz trails at 39.56% amid record 79.56% turnout that propelled the opposition to a two-thirds supermajority. Pre-election polls from early April, including AtlasIntel at 52.1% and Medián at 55.5%, accurately forecasted this outcome, reflecting widespread discontent with Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule after his concession speech. President Tamás Sulyok's April 15 consultations signal swift government formation, though minor far-right challenges to results or final overseas tallies represent slim scenarios for shifts exceeding 54% or dropping below 50%.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Hacim
$570,113Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.With over 98% of precincts reporting from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, the National Election Office shows Péter Magyar's Tisza party securing 52.10% of the party list vote—precisely in the 50-54% range commanding 94.4% trader consensus—while Fidesz trails at 39.56% amid record 79.56% turnout that propelled the opposition to a two-thirds supermajority. Pre-election polls from early April, including AtlasIntel at 52.1% and Medián at 55.5%, accurately forecasted this outcome, reflecting widespread discontent with Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule after his concession speech. President Tamás Sulyok's April 15 consultations signal swift government formation, though minor far-right challenges to results or final overseas tallies represent slim scenarios for shifts exceeding 54% or dropping below 50%.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Hacim
$570,113Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 98% of precincts reporting from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, the National Election Office shows Péter Magyar's Tisza party securing 52.10% of the party list vote—precisely in the 50-54% range commanding 94.4% trader consensus—while Fidesz trails at 39.56% amid record 79.56% turnout that propelled the opposition to a two-thirds supermajority. Pre-election polls from early April, including AtlasIntel at 52.1% and Medián at 55.5%, accurately forecasted this outcome, reflecting widespread discontent with Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule after his concession speech. President Tamás Sulyok's April 15 consultations signal swift government formation, though minor far-right challenges to results or final overseas tallies represent slim scenarios for shifts exceeding 54% or dropping below 50%.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular