Iván Cepeda Castro's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% for winning Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote stems from dominant recent polling leads, including Invamer and AtlasIntel surveys showing him at 36-40% amid fragmented opposition, bolstered by the Historic Pact's strong March 8 legislative election performance that solidified leftist turnout in key regions. High undecideds and abstention rates favor his motivated base, reflecting skin-in-the-game optimism on consolidation toward a 50%+ threshold without a runoff. Realistic challenges include right-wing unity behind Paloma Valencia or Abelardo de la Espriella, late scandals tied to his past, or President Petro's unpopularity eroding support in swing areas before campaigning intensifies.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiKolombiya Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimleri 1. tur kazananı?
Kolombiya Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimleri 1. tur kazananı?
Iván Cepeda Castro 92%
Abelardo de la Espriella 4.0%
Paloma Valencia 3.1%
Vicky Dávila <1%
$2,464,317 Hac.
$2,464,317 Hac.
31 May 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
92%
Abelardo de la Espriella
4%
Paloma Valencia
3%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
Claudia López
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
Iván Cepeda Castro 92%
Abelardo de la Espriella 4.0%
Paloma Valencia 3.1%
Vicky Dávila <1%
$2,464,317 Hac.
$2,464,317 Hac.
31 May 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
$130,980 Hac.
92%
Abelardo de la Espriella
$530,809 Hac.
4%
Paloma Valencia
$270,538 Hac.
3%
Vicky Dávila
$269,043 Hac.
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
$65,813 Hac.
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
$184,223 Hac.
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
$112,207 Hac.
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
$126,228 Hac.
<1%
Claudia López
$89,593 Hac.
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
$78,955 Hac.
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
$97,983 Hac.
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
$114,971 Hac.
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
$79,459 Hac.
<1%
Roy Barreras
$108,615 Hac.
<1%
Daniel Quintero
$57,879 Hac.
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
$54,584 Hac.
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
$56,477 Hac.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Iván Cepeda Castro's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% for winning Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote stems from dominant recent polling leads, including Invamer and AtlasIntel surveys showing him at 36-40% amid fragmented opposition, bolstered by the Historic Pact's strong March 8 legislative election performance that solidified leftist turnout in key regions. High undecideds and abstention rates favor his motivated base, reflecting skin-in-the-game optimism on consolidation toward a 50%+ threshold without a runoff. Realistic challenges include right-wing unity behind Paloma Valencia or Abelardo de la Espriella, late scandals tied to his past, or President Petro's unpopularity eroding support in swing areas before campaigning intensifies.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET
Hacim
$2,464,317Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Iván Cepeda Castro's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% for winning Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote stems from dominant recent polling leads, including Invamer and AtlasIntel surveys showing him at 36-40% amid fragmented opposition, bolstered by the Historic Pact's strong March 8 legislative election performance that solidified leftist turnout in key regions. High undecideds and abstention rates favor his motivated base, reflecting skin-in-the-game optimism on consolidation toward a 50%+ threshold without a runoff. Realistic challenges include right-wing unity behind Paloma Valencia or Abelardo de la Espriella, late scandals tied to his past, or President Petro's unpopularity eroding support in swing areas before campaigning intensifies.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Hacim
$2,464,317Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iván Cepeda Castro's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% for winning Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential vote stems from dominant recent polling leads, including Invamer and AtlasIntel surveys showing him at 36-40% amid fragmented opposition, bolstered by the Historic Pact's strong March 8 legislative election performance that solidified leftist turnout in key regions. High undecideds and abstention rates favor his motivated base, reflecting skin-in-the-game optimism on consolidation toward a 50%+ threshold without a runoff. Realistic challenges include right-wing unity behind Paloma Valencia or Abelardo de la Espriella, late scandals tied to his past, or President Petro's unpopularity eroding support in swing areas before campaigning intensifies.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular