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Macaristan'ın Yeni Başbakanı

Market icon

Macaristan'ın Yeni Başbakanı

Péter Magyar 98.8%

Viktor Orbán <1%

Klára Dobrev <1%

László Toroczkai <1%

Polymarket

$90,851,331 Hac.

Péter Magyar 98.8%

Viktor Orbán <1%

Klára Dobrev <1%

László Toroczkai <1%

Polymarket

$90,851,331 Hac.

Macaristan'ın bir sonraki başbakanı Péter Magyar mı olacak? icon

Péter Magyar

$20,955,241 Hac.

99%

Macaristan'ın bir sonraki başbakanı Viktor Orbán mı olacak? icon

Viktor Orbán

$24,202,523 Hac.

<1%

Macaristan'ın bir sonraki Başbakanı Klára Dobrev olacak mı? icon

Klára Dobrev

$6,150,470 Hac.

<1%

Macaristan'ın bir sonraki başbakanı László Toroczkai olacak mı? icon

László Toroczkai

$13,741,962 Hac.

<1%

Macaristan'ın bir sonraki başbakanı István Kapitány olacak mı? icon

István Kapitány

$16,554,734 Hac.

<1%

Macaristan'ın bir sonraki Başbakanı János Lázár mı olacak? icon

János Lázár

$9,247,726 Hac.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a two-thirds supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, ousting incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán after 16 years in power, as final results confirmed a landslide with record turnout and Orbán's public concession. This dominant outcome, driven by voter frustration over corruption and economic issues, positions Magyar to form the next government without coalition negotiations, reflecting trader consensus at near-certainty for him as the next Prime Minister pending formal National Assembly approval. While procedural formalities remain routine, potential challenges include unforeseen legal disputes over results, presidential nomination hurdles, or late-breaking scandals, though these face significant barriers given the decisive mandate.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$90,851,331
Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a two-thirds supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, ousting incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán after 16 years in power, as final results confirmed a landslide with record turnout and Orbán's public concession. This dominant outcome, driven by voter frustration over corruption and economic issues, positions Magyar to form the next government without coalition negotiations, reflecting trader consensus at near-certainty for him as the next Prime Minister pending formal National Assembly approval. While procedural formalities remain routine, potential challenges include unforeseen legal disputes over results, presidential nomination hurdles, or late-breaking scandals, though these face significant barriers given the decisive mandate.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$90,851,331
Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Macaristan'ın Yeni Başbakanı", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 6 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 99% ile "Péter Magyar", ardından 0% ile "Viktor Orbán" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 99¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 99% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Macaristan'ın Yeni Başbakanı" toplam $90.9 million işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Jul 24, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Macaristan'ın Yeni Başbakanı" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 6 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Macaristan'ın Yeni Başbakanı" için mevcut favori 99% ile "Péter Magyar"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 99% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 0% ile "Viktor Orbán"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Macaristan'ın Yeni Başbakanı" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.