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Seçimler·Dünya Seçimleri

Dublin - Merkez Ara Seçim Kazananı

Market icon
Seçimler·Dünya Seçimleri

Dublin - Merkez Ara Seçim Kazananı

Daniel Ennis 75%

Janice Boylan 13.8%

Gerry Hutch 4.0%

John Stephens 4.0%

Polymarket

$848,330 Hac.

Daniel Ennis 75%

Janice Boylan 13.8%

Gerry Hutch 4.0%

John Stephens 4.0%

Polymarket

$848,330 Hac.

Daniel Ennis

$14,504 Hac.

75%

Janice Boylan

$6,687 Hac.

14%

Gerry Hutch

$495,786 Hac.

4%

John Stephens

$76,563 Hac.

4%

Gillian Sherratt

$132,971 Hac.

2%

Ray McAdam

$6,081 Hac.

1%

Janet Horner

$5,099 Hac.

1%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin

$48,075 Hac.

<1%

Malachy Steenson

$14,036 Hac.

<1%

Ian Noel Smyth

$6,644 Hac.

<1%

Séamas McGrattan

$4,808 Hac.

<1%

Mary Fitzpatrick

$37,077 Hac.

<1%

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).**Trader consensus positions Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis as the clear frontrunner at 74% implied probability to win the Dublin Central Dáil by-election**, driven by his early December 2025 selection, solid 2024 local election performance in the north inner city, and policy focus on housing reform, poverty alleviation, and cost-of-living pressures resonating with working-class voters. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan trails at 14% following her February 2026 convention win over prominent activist Gillian Sherratt, reflecting tempered expectations amid the party's recent national setbacks. Fianna Fáil's John Stephens and independent Gerry Hutch linger lower at 4% each, hampered by government party weaknesses and Hutch's controversial criminal associations rejected by two-thirds in a February poll. Under PR-STV rules for this single-vacancy contest triggered by Paschal Donohoe's resignation, recent April analyses emphasize transfers from eliminated progressive and independent candidates as decisive, with canvassing accelerating ahead of the expected May polling day.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Hacim
$848,330
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).**Trader consensus positions Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis as the clear frontrunner at 74% implied probability to win the Dublin Central Dáil by-election**, driven by his early December 2025 selection, solid 2024 local election performance in the north inner city, and policy focus on housing reform, poverty alleviation, and cost-of-living pressures resonating with working-class voters. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan trails at 14% following her February 2026 convention win over prominent activist Gillian Sherratt, reflecting tempered expectations amid the party's recent national setbacks. Fianna Fáil's John Stephens and independent Gerry Hutch linger lower at 4% each, hampered by government party weaknesses and Hutch's controversial criminal associations rejected by two-thirds in a February poll. Under PR-STV rules for this single-vacancy contest triggered by Paschal Donohoe's resignation, recent April analyses emphasize transfers from eliminated progressive and independent candidates as decisive, with canvassing accelerating ahead of the expected May polling day.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Hacim
$848,330
Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Dublin - Merkez Ara Seçim Kazananı", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 12 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 75% ile "Daniel Ennis", ardından 14% ile "Janice Boylan" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 75¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 75% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Dublin - Merkez Ara Seçim Kazananı" toplam $848.3K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Feb 20, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Dublin - Merkez Ara Seçim Kazananı" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 12 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Dublin - Merkez Ara Seçim Kazananı" için mevcut favori 75% ile "Daniel Ennis"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 75% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 14% ile "Janice Boylan"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Dublin - Merkez Ara Seçim Kazananı" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.