Trader consensus heavily favors Chong Won-oh at 89% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by the Democratic Party of Korea's confirmation of him as its candidate last week after he secured a primary majority as the former three-term Seongdong District chief. This ruling party nomination has propelled his odds amid strong organizational backing and local popularity from district governance successes. Incumbent Mayor Oh Se-hoon, seeking People Power Party nomination, trails at 7.5% as his party's primary remains unresolved, reflecting competitive field risks despite incumbency advantages. Earlier February polls showed a tight hypothetical matchup, but recent primary outcomes have shifted momentum toward the Democratic contender, with other potential candidates polling minimally pending their party selections.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi2026 Seul Belediye Başkanlığı Seçimi Kazananı
2026 Seul Belediye Başkanlığı Seçimi Kazananı
Chong Won-oh 89%
Oh Se-hoon 8%
Cho Eun-hee <1%
Ahn Cheol-soo <1%
$23,110,982 Hac.
$23,110,982 Hac.
Chong Won-oh
89%
Oh Se-hoon
8%
Cho Eun-hee
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Park Yong-jin
<1%
Hong Ihk-pyo
<1%
Cho Kuk
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Park Ju-min
<1%
Park Hong-keun
<1%
Seo Young-kyo
<1%
Jeon Hyun-heui
<1%
Chong Won-oh 89%
Oh Se-hoon 8%
Cho Eun-hee <1%
Ahn Cheol-soo <1%
$23,110,982 Hac.
$23,110,982 Hac.
Chong Won-oh
89%
Oh Se-hoon
8%
Cho Eun-hee
<1%
Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%
Park Yong-jin
<1%
Hong Ihk-pyo
<1%
Cho Kuk
<1%
Kang Hoon-sik
<1%
Na Kyung-won
<1%
Han Dong-hoon
<1%
Park Ju-min
<1%
Park Hong-keun
<1%
Seo Young-kyo
<1%
Jeon Hyun-heui
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Chong Won-oh at 89% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election, driven by the Democratic Party of Korea's confirmation of him as its candidate last week after he secured a primary majority as the former three-term Seongdong District chief. This ruling party nomination has propelled his odds amid strong organizational backing and local popularity from district governance successes. Incumbent Mayor Oh Se-hoon, seeking People Power Party nomination, trails at 7.5% as his party's primary remains unresolved, reflecting competitive field risks despite incumbency advantages. Earlier February polls showed a tight hypothetical matchup, but recent primary outcomes have shifted momentum toward the Democratic contender, with other potential candidates polling minimally pending their party selections.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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