Labour's Rowenna Davis leads trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability for the Croydon mayoral election on May 7, driven by recent analysis highlighting a splintered right-wing vote among incumbent Conservative Jason Perry, Reform UK's Ben Flook, and others, potentially allowing her to secure victory with a plurality. Perry, seeking re-election after winning narrowly in 2022, trails at 16.5% amid council projections showing Conservatives short of a majority. Green Party's Peter Underwood at 17.3% benefits from recent by-election gains and local activism, positioning him as a strong third. With counting set for May 8, low turnout and tactical voting remain key uncertainties in this first-past-the-post contest.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiCroydon Mayoral Election Winner
Croydon Mayoral Election Winner
Rowenna Davis 63%
Peter Underwood 17.3%
Jason Perry 17%
Jose Joseph 1.4%
$18,031 Hac.
$18,031 Hac.
7 May 2026
Rowenna Davis
63%
Peter Underwood
17%
Jason Perry
17%
Jose Joseph
1%
Ben Flook
<1%
Michael Pusey
<1%
Richard Howard
<1%
Rowenna Davis 63%
Peter Underwood 17.3%
Jason Perry 17%
Jose Joseph 1.4%
$18,031 Hac.
$18,031 Hac.
7 May 2026
Rowenna Davis
$7,261 Hac.
63%
Peter Underwood
$1,660 Hac.
17%
Jason Perry
$2,581 Hac.
17%
Jose Joseph
$1,143 Hac.
1%
Ben Flook
$3,099 Hac.
<1%
Michael Pusey
$1,139 Hac.
<1%
Richard Howard
$1,147 Hac.
<1%
The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.Labour's Rowenna Davis leads trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability for the Croydon mayoral election on May 7, driven by recent analysis highlighting a splintered right-wing vote among incumbent Conservative Jason Perry, Reform UK's Ben Flook, and others, potentially allowing her to secure victory with a plurality. Perry, seeking re-election after winning narrowly in 2022, trails at 16.5% amid council projections showing Conservatives short of a majority. Green Party's Peter Underwood at 17.3% benefits from recent by-election gains and local activism, positioning him as a strong third. With counting set for May 8, low turnout and tactical voting remain key uncertainties in this first-past-the-post contest.
The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Hacim
$18,031Bitiş Tarihi
7 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.Labour's Rowenna Davis leads trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability for the Croydon mayoral election on May 7, driven by recent analysis highlighting a splintered right-wing vote among incumbent Conservative Jason Perry, Reform UK's Ben Flook, and others, potentially allowing her to secure victory with a plurality. Perry, seeking re-election after winning narrowly in 2022, trails at 16.5% amid council projections showing Conservatives short of a majority. Green Party's Peter Underwood at 17.3% benefits from recent by-election gains and local activism, positioning him as a strong third. With counting set for May 8, low turnout and tactical voting remain key uncertainties in this first-past-the-post contest.
The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Hacim
$18,031Bitiş Tarihi
7 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Labour's Rowenna Davis leads trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability for the Croydon mayoral election on May 7, driven by recent analysis highlighting a splintered right-wing vote among incumbent Conservative Jason Perry, Reform UK's Ben Flook, and others, potentially allowing her to secure victory with a plurality. Perry, seeking re-election after winning narrowly in 2022, trails at 16.5% amid council projections showing Conservatives short of a majority. Green Party's Peter Underwood at 17.3% benefits from recent by-election gains and local activism, positioning him as a strong third. With counting set for May 8, low turnout and tactical voting remain key uncertainties in this first-past-the-post contest.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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