**Preliminary official results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with over 98% of votes counted by the National Election Office, show Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party capturing around 53.6% of the national list vote—widely viewed as the popular vote—against Fidesz's approximately 39%, implying a 14% margin that aligns precisely with pre-election polling averages from reliable firms like Medián (12-15 point Tisza leads).** Record 78% turnout, the highest ever, reflected voter fatigue with Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule amid economic woes and corruption scandals, enabling Tisza's supermajority win; Orbán conceded defeat on election night. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus at 94% for the 12-15% bin reflects confirmation of pollster accuracy, though final certification could prompt minor recounts—unlikely to alter the outcome given the gap. (112 words)
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTisza %12-15 94.0%
Tisza %15-18 4.5%
Tisza %9-12 1.9%
Tisza %18+ <1%
$757,355 Hac.
$757,355 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
Tisza %18+
<1%
Tisza %15-18
5%
Tisza %12-15
94%
Tisza %9-12
2%
Tisza < %9
<1%
Diğer
<1%
Tisza %12-15 94.0%
Tisza %15-18 4.5%
Tisza %9-12 1.9%
Tisza %18+ <1%
$757,355 Hac.
$757,355 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
Tisza %18+
$156,340 Hac.
<1%
Tisza %15-18
$196,830 Hac.
5%
Tisza %12-15
$230,180 Hac.
94%
Tisza %9-12
$104,742 Hac.
2%
Tisza < %9
$42,370 Hac.
<1%
Diğer
$26,892 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.**Preliminary official results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with over 98% of votes counted by the National Election Office, show Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party capturing around 53.6% of the national list vote—widely viewed as the popular vote—against Fidesz's approximately 39%, implying a 14% margin that aligns precisely with pre-election polling averages from reliable firms like Medián (12-15 point Tisza leads).** Record 78% turnout, the highest ever, reflected voter fatigue with Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule amid economic woes and corruption scandals, enabling Tisza's supermajority win; Orbán conceded defeat on election night. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus at 94% for the 12-15% bin reflects confirmation of pollster accuracy, though final certification could prompt minor recounts—unlikely to alter the outcome given the gap. (112 words)
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 31, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
Hacim
$757,355Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 31, 2026, 3:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.**Preliminary official results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with over 98% of votes counted by the National Election Office, show Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party capturing around 53.6% of the national list vote—widely viewed as the popular vote—against Fidesz's approximately 39%, implying a 14% margin that aligns precisely with pre-election polling averages from reliable firms like Medián (12-15 point Tisza leads).** Record 78% turnout, the highest ever, reflected voter fatigue with Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule amid economic woes and corruption scandals, enabling Tisza's supermajority win; Orbán conceded defeat on election night. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus at 94% for the 12-15% bin reflects confirmation of pollster accuracy, though final certification could prompt minor recounts—unlikely to alter the outcome given the gap. (112 words)
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Hacim
$757,355Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 31, 2026, 3:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Preliminary official results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with over 98% of votes counted by the National Election Office, show Péter Magyar's centre-right Tisza party capturing around 53.6% of the national list vote—widely viewed as the popular vote—against Fidesz's approximately 39%, implying a 14% margin that aligns precisely with pre-election polling averages from reliable firms like Medián (12-15 point Tisza leads).** Record 78% turnout, the highest ever, reflected voter fatigue with Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule amid economic woes and corruption scandals, enabling Tisza's supermajority win; Orbán conceded defeat on election night. This skin-in-the-game trader consensus at 94% for the 12-15% bin reflects confirmation of pollster accuracy, though final certification could prompt minor recounts—unlikely to alter the outcome given the gap. (112 words)
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular