Election results from Hungary's April 12, 2026 parliamentary vote, with over 98% of precincts reporting, show Péter Magyar's Tisza Party capturing 52-54% of the national list vote against Fidesz-KDNP's 38-40%, yielding a margin exceeding 12 points that traders overwhelmingly back at 99.1% for Tisza 9%+. Record turnout near 80% propelled Tisza's anti-corruption, pro-EU platform past Viktor Orbán's long-ruling alliance, prompting his swift concession and projections of a Tisza supermajority. Pre-election polls had signaled Tisza's widening lead amid economic discontent. While final overseas and mail ballots remain, substantial shifts favoring Fidesz appear improbable given uniform trends, cementing the commanding trader consensus.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTisza %9+ 99.1%
Tisza %6-9 <1%
Fidesz-KDNP %9+ <1%
Tisza %3-6 <1%
$3,519,482 Hac.
$3,519,482 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
Tisza %9+
99%
Tisza %6-9
1%
Tisza %3-6
<1%
Tisza %0-3
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP %0-3
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP %3-6
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP %6-9
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP %9+
1%
Diğer
<1%
Tisza %9+ 99.1%
Tisza %6-9 <1%
Fidesz-KDNP %9+ <1%
Tisza %3-6 <1%
$3,519,482 Hac.
$3,519,482 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
Tisza %9+
$946,604 Hac.
99%
Tisza %6-9
$186,074 Hac.
1%
Tisza %3-6
$164,687 Hac.
<1%
Tisza %0-3
$167,627 Hac.
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP %0-3
$237,232 Hac.
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP %3-6
$249,930 Hac.
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP %6-9
$663,969 Hac.
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP %9+
$789,015 Hac.
1%
Diğer
$114,345 Hac.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Election results from Hungary's April 12, 2026 parliamentary vote, with over 98% of precincts reporting, show Péter Magyar's Tisza Party capturing 52-54% of the national list vote against Fidesz-KDNP's 38-40%, yielding a margin exceeding 12 points that traders overwhelmingly back at 99.1% for Tisza 9%+. Record turnout near 80% propelled Tisza's anti-corruption, pro-EU platform past Viktor Orbán's long-ruling alliance, prompting his swift concession and projections of a Tisza supermajority. Pre-election polls had signaled Tisza's widening lead amid economic discontent. While final overseas and mail ballots remain, substantial shifts favoring Fidesz appear improbable given uniform trends, cementing the commanding trader consensus.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Hacim
$3,519,482Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Election results from Hungary's April 12, 2026 parliamentary vote, with over 98% of precincts reporting, show Péter Magyar's Tisza Party capturing 52-54% of the national list vote against Fidesz-KDNP's 38-40%, yielding a margin exceeding 12 points that traders overwhelmingly back at 99.1% for Tisza 9%+. Record turnout near 80% propelled Tisza's anti-corruption, pro-EU platform past Viktor Orbán's long-ruling alliance, prompting his swift concession and projections of a Tisza supermajority. Pre-election polls had signaled Tisza's widening lead amid economic discontent. While final overseas and mail ballots remain, substantial shifts favoring Fidesz appear improbable given uniform trends, cementing the commanding trader consensus.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, Fidesz-KDNP margin of victory options will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Hacim
$3,519,482Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Election results from Hungary's April 12, 2026 parliamentary vote, with over 98% of precincts reporting, show Péter Magyar's Tisza Party capturing 52-54% of the national list vote against Fidesz-KDNP's 38-40%, yielding a margin exceeding 12 points that traders overwhelmingly back at 99.1% for Tisza 9%+. Record turnout near 80% propelled Tisza's anti-corruption, pro-EU platform past Viktor Orbán's long-ruling alliance, prompting his swift concession and projections of a Tisza supermajority. Pre-election polls had signaled Tisza's widening lead amid economic discontent. While final overseas and mail ballots remain, substantial shifts favoring Fidesz appear improbable given uniform trends, cementing the commanding trader consensus.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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