Record voter turnout in Hungary's April 12, 2026 parliamentary election, reaching 79.6% per National Election Office data—the highest in modern history—has solidified trader consensus at 97.8% odds for the 77–80% bin, surpassing prior records like 73% in 2022 and 70.5% in 2002. Intense mobilization amid a tight race between incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's pro-EU Tisza party drove early surges, with 74% turnout by 5pm and 77.8% by polls' close, fueled by campaign calls for participation and diaspora voting. While final certification including overseas ballots could nudge figures slightly, discrepancies exceeding 3% remain improbable absent recounts or procedural disputes.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi%77–80 97.8%
%80'in üzerinde 1.7%
%74–77 <1%
%65'in altında <1%
$1,314,599 Hac.
$1,314,599 Hac.

%65'in altında
<1%

%65–68
<1%

%68–71
<1%

%71–74
<1%

%74–77
<1%

%77–80
98%

%80'in üzerinde
2%
%77–80 97.8%
%80'in üzerinde 1.7%
%74–77 <1%
%65'in altında <1%
$1,314,599 Hac.
$1,314,599 Hac.

%65'in altında
<1%

%65–68
<1%

%68–71
<1%

%71–74
<1%

%74–77
<1%

%77–80
98%

%80'in üzerinde
2%
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Record voter turnout in Hungary's April 12, 2026 parliamentary election, reaching 79.6% per National Election Office data—the highest in modern history—has solidified trader consensus at 97.8% odds for the 77–80% bin, surpassing prior records like 73% in 2022 and 70.5% in 2002. Intense mobilization amid a tight race between incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's pro-EU Tisza party drove early surges, with 74% turnout by 5pm and 77.8% by polls' close, fueled by campaign calls for participation and diaspora voting. While final certification including overseas ballots could nudge figures slightly, discrepancies exceeding 3% remain improbable absent recounts or procedural disputes.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular