Keiko Fujimori holds a firm lead at around 17% in Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election, per ONPE counts exceeding 91% as of April 16, but the battle for second remains intensely competitive among Rafael López Aliaga (12%), Roberto Sánchez (12%), and Jorge Nieto (11%), fueled by delayed rural actas and pending Lima and overseas ballots. Logistical chaos, including voting extensions and slow processing, has sparked fraud allegations from López Aliaga's camp and protests, amplifying uncertainty in this fragmented 35-candidate field where no one neared 50% for outright victory. Trader consensus reflects this razor-thin margin, pricing "Other" combinations highest at 58% implied probability while López Aliaga-Fujimori trails at 39%, with JNE proclamation pending ahead of a June 7 runoff.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiDiğer 58.0%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 40%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
López Aliaga & Nieto <1%
$964,113 Hac.
$964,113 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
Diğer
58%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
40%
López Aliaga & López Chau
<1%
López Aliaga & Nieto
<1%
López Chau & Fujimori
<1%
López Chau & Nieto
<1%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
<1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
<1%
Fujimori & Nieto
<1%
Diğer 58.0%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 40%
López Aliaga & López Chau <1%
López Aliaga & Nieto <1%
$964,113 Hac.
$964,113 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
Diğer
$237,840 Hac.
58%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
$316,062 Hac.
40%
López Aliaga & López Chau
$24,017 Hac.
<1%
López Aliaga & Nieto
$32,793 Hac.
<1%
López Chau & Fujimori
$67,800 Hac.
<1%
López Chau & Nieto
$16,487 Hac.
<1%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
$24,242 Hac.
<1%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
$36,670 Hac.
<1%
López Aliaga & Grozo
$9,953 Hac.
<1%
Fujimori & Nieto
$198,248 Hac.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Keiko Fujimori holds a firm lead at around 17% in Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election, per ONPE counts exceeding 91% as of April 16, but the battle for second remains intensely competitive among Rafael López Aliaga (12%), Roberto Sánchez (12%), and Jorge Nieto (11%), fueled by delayed rural actas and pending Lima and overseas ballots. Logistical chaos, including voting extensions and slow processing, has sparked fraud allegations from López Aliaga's camp and protests, amplifying uncertainty in this fragmented 35-candidate field where no one neared 50% for outright victory. Trader consensus reflects this razor-thin margin, pricing "Other" combinations highest at 58% implied probability while López Aliaga-Fujimori trails at 39%, with JNE proclamation pending ahead of a June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Hacim
$964,113Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Keiko Fujimori holds a firm lead at around 17% in Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election, per ONPE counts exceeding 91% as of April 16, but the battle for second remains intensely competitive among Rafael López Aliaga (12%), Roberto Sánchez (12%), and Jorge Nieto (11%), fueled by delayed rural actas and pending Lima and overseas ballots. Logistical chaos, including voting extensions and slow processing, has sparked fraud allegations from López Aliaga's camp and protests, amplifying uncertainty in this fragmented 35-candidate field where no one neared 50% for outright victory. Trader consensus reflects this razor-thin margin, pricing "Other" combinations highest at 58% implied probability while López Aliaga-Fujimori trails at 39%, with JNE proclamation pending ahead of a June 7 runoff.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Hacim
$964,113Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori holds a firm lead at around 17% in Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election, per ONPE counts exceeding 91% as of April 16, but the battle for second remains intensely competitive among Rafael López Aliaga (12%), Roberto Sánchez (12%), and Jorge Nieto (11%), fueled by delayed rural actas and pending Lima and overseas ballots. Logistical chaos, including voting extensions and slow processing, has sparked fraud allegations from López Aliaga's camp and protests, amplifying uncertainty in this fragmented 35-candidate field where no one neared 50% for outright victory. Trader consensus reflects this razor-thin margin, pricing "Other" combinations highest at 58% implied probability while López Aliaga-Fujimori trails at 39%, with JNE proclamation pending ahead of a June 7 runoff.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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