In Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, trader consensus favors Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 70.5% implied probability for second place, driven by the latest ONPE tallies exceeding 90% of actas processed, where he narrowly leads Rafael López Aliaga by around 7,500 votes—11.96% to 11.91%. Sánchez's surge stems from robust rural support in slower-counted regions like Cajamarca, contrasting López Aliaga's strength in urban Lima, already fully tabulated. Ipsos exit polls anticipated this shift, with Fujimori leading at 17% for a likely June 7 runoff. Final certification by the National Jury of Elections could still adjust margins amid prior ballot delays.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiRoberto Sánchez Palomino 70.0%
Rafael López Aliaga 33%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
Alfonso López Chau <1%
$2,917,202 Hac.
$2,917,202 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
70%
Rafael López Aliaga
33%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 70.0%
Rafael López Aliaga 33%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
Alfonso López Chau <1%
$2,917,202 Hac.
$2,917,202 Hac.
12 Nis 2026
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$1,083,319 Hac.
70%
Rafael López Aliaga
$1,109,379 Hac.
33%
Mario Vizcarra
$8,170 Hac.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
$79,025 Hac.
<1%
José Luna
$4,015 Hac.
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
$4,420 Hac.
<1%
Carlos Espá
$7,489 Hac.
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
$2,781 Hac.
<1%
Mesías Guevara
$3,791 Hac.
<1%
George Forsyth
$3,359 Hac.
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
$2,378 Hac.
<1%
Jorge Nieto
$230,209 Hac.
<1%
César Acuña
$3,987 Hac.
<1%
José Williams
$3,845 Hac.
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
$187,850 Hac.
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
$111,497 Hac.
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
$51,602 Hac.
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
$3,316 Hac.
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
$2,934 Hac.
<1%
Fernando Olivera
$3,589 Hac.
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
$12,619 Hac.
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$4,628 Hac.
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$4,241 Hac.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)In Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, trader consensus favors Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 70.5% implied probability for second place, driven by the latest ONPE tallies exceeding 90% of actas processed, where he narrowly leads Rafael López Aliaga by around 7,500 votes—11.96% to 11.91%. Sánchez's surge stems from robust rural support in slower-counted regions like Cajamarca, contrasting López Aliaga's strength in urban Lima, already fully tabulated. Ipsos exit polls anticipated this shift, with Fujimori leading at 17% for a likely June 7 runoff. Final certification by the National Jury of Elections could still adjust margins amid prior ballot delays.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Hacim
$2,917,202Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)In Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, trader consensus favors Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 70.5% implied probability for second place, driven by the latest ONPE tallies exceeding 90% of actas processed, where he narrowly leads Rafael López Aliaga by around 7,500 votes—11.96% to 11.91%. Sánchez's surge stems from robust rural support in slower-counted regions like Cajamarca, contrasting López Aliaga's strength in urban Lima, already fully tabulated. Ipsos exit polls anticipated this shift, with Fujimori leading at 17% for a likely June 7 runoff. Final certification by the National Jury of Elections could still adjust margins amid prior ballot delays.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Hacim
$2,917,202Bitiş Tarihi
12 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, trader consensus favors Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 70.5% implied probability for second place, driven by the latest ONPE tallies exceeding 90% of actas processed, where he narrowly leads Rafael López Aliaga by around 7,500 votes—11.96% to 11.91%. Sánchez's surge stems from robust rural support in slower-counted regions like Cajamarca, contrasting López Aliaga's strength in urban Lima, already fully tabulated. Ipsos exit polls anticipated this shift, with Fujimori leading at 17% for a likely June 7 runoff. Final certification by the National Jury of Elections could still adjust margins amid prior ballot delays.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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