With over 90% of votes tallied in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, trader consensus on Polymarket favors Rafael López Aliaga for third place at 61.1% implied probability, reflecting his slip from second amid Roberto Sánchez Palomino's surge to 12% versus López Aliaga's 11.9%, behind leader Keiko Fujimori at 17%. Recent developments driving this positioning include Sánchez's overtake in the past 48 hours during the protracted ONPE count, fueled by stronger rural turnout favoring his Juntos por el Perú platform, while López Aliaga's Renovación Popular base held in urban areas like Lima. Remaining ballots, likely left-leaning, reinforce expectations of a Fujimori-Sánchez runoff on June 7, relegating López Aliaga; other candidates trail far behind with under 4%.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiPeru Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimi Birinci Tur: 3. Sıra
Peru Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimi Birinci Tur: 3. Sıra
Rafael López Aliaga 61.1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 38.0%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$561,817 Hac.
$561,817 Hac.
Rafael López Aliaga
61%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
38%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 61.1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 38.0%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$561,817 Hac.
$561,817 Hac.
Rafael López Aliaga
61%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
38%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 90% of votes tallied in Peru's April 12-13 presidential election first round, trader consensus on Polymarket favors Rafael López Aliaga for third place at 61.1% implied probability, reflecting his slip from second amid Roberto Sánchez Palomino's surge to 12% versus López Aliaga's 11.9%, behind leader Keiko Fujimori at 17%. Recent developments driving this positioning include Sánchez's overtake in the past 48 hours during the protracted ONPE count, fueled by stronger rural turnout favoring his Juntos por el Perú platform, while López Aliaga's Renovación Popular base held in urban areas like Lima. Remaining ballots, likely left-leaning, reinforce expectations of a Fujimori-Sánchez runoff on June 7, relegating López Aliaga; other candidates trail far behind with under 4%.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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