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Seçimler·Bulgaristan

Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı

Market icon
Seçimler·Bulgaristan

Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı

PB 97.5%

GERB–SDS 1.3%

PP–DB <1%

DPS <1%

Polymarket

$201,710 Hac.

PB 97.5%

GERB–SDS 1.3%

PP–DB <1%

DPS <1%

Polymarket

$201,710 Hac.

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

PB

$73,664 Hac.

98%

Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

GERB–SDS

$29,232 Hac.

1%

Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

PP–DB

$27,743 Hac.

1%

Will Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

DPS

$4,252 Hac.

<1%

Will There Is Such a People (ITN) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

ITN

$11,889 Hac.

<1%

Will Velichie win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

Velichie

$15,738 Hac.

<1%

Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

APS

$11,608 Hac.

<1%

Will BSP – United Left win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

BSP-United Left

$7,898 Hac.

<1%

Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECH) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

MECH

$10,144 Hac.

<1%

Will Vazrazhdane win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

Vazrazhdane

$9,543 Hac.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), backed by popular former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at 97.6% implied probability for most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election—the eighth since 2021—driven by consistent polling dominance. A fresh April 15 survey projects PB at 32% support with 90 of 240 seats under proportional representation, well ahead of GERB–SDS (22%, ~65 seats) and PP–DB (12%, ~35 seats), amid voter fatigue from repeated elections and anti-corruption protests that toppled the prior government. This reflects PB's surge as a new anti-establishment force in a fragmented field. While barriers to upset are high given polling stability and historical accuracy, a late scandal, turnout surge among undecideds favoring incumbents, or coalition pre-election signals could narrow the gap before results.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Hacim
$201,710
Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), backed by popular former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at 97.6% implied probability for most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election—the eighth since 2021—driven by consistent polling dominance. A fresh April 15 survey projects PB at 32% support with 90 of 240 seats under proportional representation, well ahead of GERB–SDS (22%, ~65 seats) and PP–DB (12%, ~35 seats), amid voter fatigue from repeated elections and anti-corruption protests that toppled the prior government. This reflects PB's surge as a new anti-establishment force in a fragmented field. While barriers to upset are high given polling stability and historical accuracy, a late scandal, turnout surge among undecideds favoring incumbents, or coalition pre-election signals could narrow the gap before results.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Hacim
$201,710
Bitiş Tarihi
19 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 10 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 98% ile "PB", ardından 1% ile "GERB–SDS" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 98¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 98% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı" toplam $201.7K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Mar 13, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 10 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı" için mevcut favori 98% ile "PB"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 98% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 1% ile "GERB–SDS"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Bulgaristan Parlamento Seçimlerinin Kazananı" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.