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Siyaset·Dünya Seçimleri

Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi Seçimi Kazananı

Market icon
Siyaset·Dünya Seçimleri

Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi Seçimi Kazananı

DMK 81%

ADMK 14.8%

TVK 4.9%

AITC <1%

Polymarket

$351,201 Hac.

DMK 81%

ADMK 14.8%

TVK 4.9%

AITC <1%

Polymarket

$351,201 Hac.

Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK), 2026 Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi seçimlerinde en çok sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

DMK

$51,819 Hac.

81%

Tüm Hindistan Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK), 2026 Tamil Nadu Eyalet Meclisi seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

ADMK

$45,884 Hac.

15%

Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), 2026 Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

TVK

$72,742 Hac.

5%

Tüm Hindistan Trinamool Kongresi (AITC), 2026 Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

AITC

$19,827 Hac.

<1%

Hindistan Komünist Partisi (Marksist) (CPI(M)), 2026 Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

CPI(M)

$38,302 Hac.

<1%

Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK), 2026 Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

DMDK

$12,329 Hac.

<1%

Bahujan Samaj Partisi (BSP), 2026 Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

BSP

$12,144 Hac.

<1%

Hindistan Komünist Partisi (CPI), 2026 Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi seçiminde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

CPI

$13,064 Hac.

<1%

Hindistan Ulusal Kongresi (INC), 2026 Tamil Nadu Eyalet Meclisi seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

INC

$34,415 Hac.

<1%

Ulusal Halk Partisi (NPEP), 2026 Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

NPEP

$12,372 Hac.

<1%

Bharatiya Janata Partisi (BJP), 2026 Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

BJP

$21,158 Hac.

<1%

Ulusal Kongre Partisi (NCP), 2026 Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

NCP

$17,147 Hac.

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the incumbent DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance at 81% implied probability to win the most seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election set for April 23, with results on May 4, driven by recent large-scale opinion polls like Lok Poll (April 1, projecting 181-189 seats on 40% vote share) and Poll Tracker (April 2, 172-178 seats on 43%) highlighting strong welfare scheme delivery—such as homemaker aid and free bus travel—among women and rural voters, alongside minority consolidation. AIADMK's NDA alliance trails at 15% amid cadre morale issues and past splits, while TVK's independent contest at 5% risks fragmenting opposition votes without robust organizational depth. Conflicting surveys like News18-VoteVibe (April 6) show tighter races, but DMK's incumbency edge and finalized seat-sharing with Congress sustain market positioning ahead of final campaigning.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Hacim
$351,201
Bitiş Tarihi
23 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the incumbent DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance at 81% implied probability to win the most seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election set for April 23, with results on May 4, driven by recent large-scale opinion polls like Lok Poll (April 1, projecting 181-189 seats on 40% vote share) and Poll Tracker (April 2, 172-178 seats on 43%) highlighting strong welfare scheme delivery—such as homemaker aid and free bus travel—among women and rural voters, alongside minority consolidation. AIADMK's NDA alliance trails at 15% amid cadre morale issues and past splits, while TVK's independent contest at 5% risks fragmenting opposition votes without robust organizational depth. Conflicting surveys like News18-VoteVibe (April 6) show tighter races, but DMK's incumbency edge and finalized seat-sharing with Congress sustain market positioning ahead of final campaigning.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Hacim
$351,201
Bitiş Tarihi
23 Nis 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi Seçimi Kazananı", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 12 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 81% ile "DMK", ardından 15% ile "ADMK" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 81¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 81% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi Seçimi Kazananı" toplam $351.2K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Dec 23, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi Seçimi Kazananı" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 12 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi Seçimi Kazananı" için mevcut favori 81% ile "DMK"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 81% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 15% ile "ADMK"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Tamil Nadu Yasama Meclisi Seçimi Kazananı" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.