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Siyaset·Trump

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

Market icon
Siyaset·Trump

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

16% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
16% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 84%, reflecting the absence of any official statements, health reports, legal actions, or party pressures signaling Sen. Ruben Gallego's resignation, expulsion, or departure from his Arizona US Senate seat by May 31. As a freshman Democrat elected in 2024, Gallego remains actively engaged, recently joining Sen. Mark Kelly to demand DHS halt its 2020 election probe and distancing himself from ex-Rep. Eric Swalwell's resignation over sexual misconduct allegations, insisting he was misled by his former close ally. No procedural hurdles or scandals threaten his incumbency, with historical precedent showing senators rarely vacate early without acute catalysts; upcoming committee hearings pose no immediate exit risks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$1,076
Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 84%, reflecting the absence of any official statements, health reports, legal actions, or party pressures signaling Sen. Ruben Gallego's resignation, expulsion, or departure from his Arizona US Senate seat by May 31. As a freshman Democrat elected in 2024, Gallego remains actively engaged, recently joining Sen. Mark Kelly to demand DHS halt its 2020 election probe and distancing himself from ex-Rep. Eric Swalwell's resignation over sexual misconduct allegations, insisting he was misled by his former close ally. No procedural hurdles or scandals threaten his incumbency, with historical precedent showing senators rarely vacate early without acute catalysts; upcoming committee hearings pose no immediate exit risks.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$1,076
Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?", yatırımcıların bu olayın gerçekleşip gerçekleşmeyeceğine inançlarına göre "Evet" veya "Hayır" hisseleri alıp sattığı Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut kitle kaynaklı olasılık "Yes" için 16%'dir. Örneğin, "Evet" 16¢ fiyatındaysa, piyasa toplu olarak bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 16% olarak belirler. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Apr 14, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için cevabın "Evet" mi yoksa "Hayır" mı olacağına inandığınızı seçin. Her tarafın piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını yansıtan bir güncel fiyatı vardır. Miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. "Evet" hisseleri satın alırsanız ve sonuç "Evet" olarak çözümlenirse, her hisse 1$ öder. "Hayır" olarak çözümlenirse, "Evet" hisseleriniz 0$ öder. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?" için mevcut olasılık "Yes" için 16%'dir. Bu, Polymarket topluluğunun şu anda bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 16% olarak gördüğü anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar gerçek işlemlere dayalı olarak gerçek zamanlı güncellenir ve piyasanın ne olmasını beklediğine dair sürekli güncellenen bir sinyal sağlar.

"Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.