Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15 12:00 PM ET, driven by the market window's closure yesterday and direct verification via Polymarket's XTracker post counter, which tallies only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts—excluding most replies. This aligns with Musk's consistent high-volume social media cadence, averaging 20-30 qualifying posts daily amid viral commentary on Grok AI benchmarks topping leaderboards, South African race law debates, and tech policy critiques like app store nudify apps. Historical patterns from prior Polymarket trackers reinforce this positioning. Realistic upsets are negligible, limited to rare oracle disputes over edge-case classifications like main-feed replies, with resolution imminent.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi65-89 100.0%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
115-139 <1%
$3,252,440 Hac.
$3,252,440 Hac.
15 Nis 2026
40-64
<1%
65-89
100%
90-114
<1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
65-89 100.0%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
115-139 <1%
$3,252,440 Hac.
$3,252,440 Hac.
15 Nis 2026
40-64
$537,418 Hac.
<1%
65-89
$605,537 Hac.
100%
90-114
$775,554 Hac.
<1%
115-139
$332,634 Hac.
<1%
140-164
$107,106 Hac.
<1%
165-189
$63,052 Hac.
<1%
190-214
$47,277 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15 12:00 PM ET, driven by the market window's closure yesterday and direct verification via Polymarket's XTracker post counter, which tallies only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts—excluding most replies. This aligns with Musk's consistent high-volume social media cadence, averaging 20-30 qualifying posts daily amid viral commentary on Grok AI benchmarks topping leaderboards, South African race law debates, and tech policy critiques like app store nudify apps. Historical patterns from prior Polymarket trackers reinforce this positioning. Realistic upsets are negligible, limited to rare oracle disputes over edge-case classifications like main-feed replies, with resolution imminent.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Hacim
$3,252,440Bitiş Tarihi
15 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15 12:00 PM ET, driven by the market window's closure yesterday and direct verification via Polymarket's XTracker post counter, which tallies only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts—excluding most replies. This aligns with Musk's consistent high-volume social media cadence, averaging 20-30 qualifying posts daily amid viral commentary on Grok AI benchmarks topping leaderboards, South African race law debates, and tech policy critiques like app store nudify apps. Historical patterns from prior Polymarket trackers reinforce this positioning. Realistic upsets are negligible, limited to rare oracle disputes over edge-case classifications like main-feed replies, with resolution imminent.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Hacim
$3,252,440Bitiş Tarihi
15 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15 12:00 PM ET, driven by the market window's closure yesterday and direct verification via Polymarket's XTracker post counter, which tallies only main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts—excluding most replies. This aligns with Musk's consistent high-volume social media cadence, averaging 20-30 qualifying posts daily amid viral commentary on Grok AI benchmarks topping leaderboards, South African race law debates, and tech policy critiques like app store nudify apps. Historical patterns from prior Polymarket trackers reinforce this positioning. Realistic upsets are negligible, limited to rare oracle disputes over edge-case classifications like main-feed replies, with resolution imminent.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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