President Donald Trump's April 12 Truth Social post labeling Pope Leo XIV "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" has fueled their public feud over U.S. military escalation in Iran, where the pontiff urged ceasefire and decried threats against civilians during his ongoing African tour. Traders nonetheless imply a 74% probability for "No," interpreting these as policy disagreements rather than the market's threshold for personal disparagement—such as calling the Pope stupid, disloyal, a failure, or using insulting nicknames or ad hominem attacks. Catholic backlash, including from U.S. cardinals on "60 Minutes," and midterm election pressures may further deter qualifying rhetoric before April 30.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiYENİ
YENİ
30 Nis 2026
YENİ
YENİ
30 Nis 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's April 12 Truth Social post labeling Pope Leo XIV "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" has fueled their public feud over U.S. military escalation in Iran, where the pontiff urged ceasefire and decried threats against civilians during his ongoing African tour. Traders nonetheless imply a 74% probability for "No," interpreting these as policy disagreements rather than the market's threshold for personal disparagement—such as calling the Pope stupid, disloyal, a failure, or using insulting nicknames or ad hominem attacks. Catholic backlash, including from U.S. cardinals on "60 Minutes," and midterm election pressures may further deter qualifying rhetoric before April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Hacim
$6,240Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's April 12 Truth Social post labeling Pope Leo XIV "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" has fueled their public feud over U.S. military escalation in Iran, where the pontiff urged ceasefire and decried threats against civilians during his ongoing African tour. Traders nonetheless imply a 74% probability for "No," interpreting these as policy disagreements rather than the market's threshold for personal disparagement—such as calling the Pope stupid, disloyal, a failure, or using insulting nicknames or ad hominem attacks. Catholic backlash, including from U.S. cardinals on "60 Minutes," and midterm election pressures may further deter qualifying rhetoric before April 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$6,240Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's April 12 Truth Social post labeling Pope Leo XIV "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" has fueled their public feud over U.S. military escalation in Iran, where the pontiff urged ceasefire and decried threats against civilians during his ongoing African tour. Traders nonetheless imply a 74% probability for "No," interpreting these as policy disagreements rather than the market's threshold for personal disparagement—such as calling the Pope stupid, disloyal, a failure, or using insulting nicknames or ad hominem attacks. Catholic backlash, including from U.S. cardinals on "60 Minutes," and midterm election pressures may further deter qualifying rhetoric before April 30.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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