Recent allegations of sexual assault and misconduct against Rep. Eric Swalwell by multiple women, surfacing in early April 2026, have triggered a criminal investigation by Los Angeles authorities and a House Ethics Committee probe. Swalwell denies the claims, suspended his California gubernatorial campaign, and plans to resign from Congress amid political pressure. No charges or indictment have been filed to date, with federal involvement only speculative from former prosecutors. Traders price "No" arrest by May 31 at 91.5%, citing the nascent stage of probes—evidence gathering and review typically span months before potential arrest warrants—and historical precedents like uncharged ties to suspected Chinese spy Fang Fang, underscoring low near-term legal risk.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiYENİ
YENİ
31 May 2026
YENİ
YENİ
31 May 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent allegations of sexual assault and misconduct against Rep. Eric Swalwell by multiple women, surfacing in early April 2026, have triggered a criminal investigation by Los Angeles authorities and a House Ethics Committee probe. Swalwell denies the claims, suspended his California gubernatorial campaign, and plans to resign from Congress amid political pressure. No charges or indictment have been filed to date, with federal involvement only speculative from former prosecutors. Traders price "No" arrest by May 31 at 91.5%, citing the nascent stage of probes—evidence gathering and review typically span months before potential arrest warrants—and historical precedents like uncharged ties to suspected Chinese spy Fang Fang, underscoring low near-term legal risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ET
Hacim
$9,680Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent allegations of sexual assault and misconduct against Rep. Eric Swalwell by multiple women, surfacing in early April 2026, have triggered a criminal investigation by Los Angeles authorities and a House Ethics Committee probe. Swalwell denies the claims, suspended his California gubernatorial campaign, and plans to resign from Congress amid political pressure. No charges or indictment have been filed to date, with federal involvement only speculative from former prosecutors. Traders price "No" arrest by May 31 at 91.5%, citing the nascent stage of probes—evidence gathering and review typically span months before potential arrest warrants—and historical precedents like uncharged ties to suspected Chinese spy Fang Fang, underscoring low near-term legal risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$9,680Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 14, 2026, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent allegations of sexual assault and misconduct against Rep. Eric Swalwell by multiple women, surfacing in early April 2026, have triggered a criminal investigation by Los Angeles authorities and a House Ethics Committee probe. Swalwell denies the claims, suspended his California gubernatorial campaign, and plans to resign from Congress amid political pressure. No charges or indictment have been filed to date, with federal involvement only speculative from former prosecutors. Traders price "No" arrest by May 31 at 91.5%, citing the nascent stage of probes—evidence gathering and review typically span months before potential arrest warrants—and historical precedents like uncharged ties to suspected Chinese spy Fang Fang, underscoring low near-term legal risk.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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