Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to 17, 2026, at 37.5% implied probability, with 280-299 (24.4%) and 320-339 (21.3%) close behind, driven by his consistent 35-40 posts-per-day pace confirmed by resolved prior markets like April 3-10 (240-259 tweets) and April 7-14 (280-299). Recent developments, including viral threads on South Africa's Black Economic Empowerment laws and Tesla AI hardware tapeouts, have sustained high engagement without spikes or lulls through April 15. With April 16 ongoing and one day left, sustained activity could tip toward 320+, while any quiet finale risks the lower 280s, underscoring the market's tight clustering around this established rhythm.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi300-319 38%
280-299 24.4%
320-339 21.3%
340-359 8.3%
$8,979,265 Hac.
$8,979,265 Hac.
17 Nis 2026
240-259
1%
260-279
7%
280-299
24%
300-319
38%
320-339
21%
340-359
8%
360-379
3%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 38%
280-299 24.4%
320-339 21.3%
340-359 8.3%
$8,979,265 Hac.
$8,979,265 Hac.
17 Nis 2026
240-259
$712,022 Hac.
1%
260-279
$442,739 Hac.
7%
280-299
$363,666 Hac.
24%
300-319
$302,804 Hac.
38%
320-339
$369,828 Hac.
21%
340-359
$288,647 Hac.
8%
360-379
$285,523 Hac.
3%
380-399
$278,227 Hac.
1%
400-419
$228,519 Hac.
<1%
420-439
$290,077 Hac.
<1%
440-459
$469,564 Hac.
<1%
460-479
$337,809 Hac.
<1%
480-499
$329,730 Hac.
<1%
500-519
$264,187 Hac.
<1%
520-539
$266,458 Hac.
<1%
540-559
$265,358 Hac.
<1%
560-579
$183,725 Hac.
<1%
580+
$348,990 Hac.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to 17, 2026, at 37.5% implied probability, with 280-299 (24.4%) and 320-339 (21.3%) close behind, driven by his consistent 35-40 posts-per-day pace confirmed by resolved prior markets like April 3-10 (240-259 tweets) and April 7-14 (280-299). Recent developments, including viral threads on South Africa's Black Economic Empowerment laws and Tesla AI hardware tapeouts, have sustained high engagement without spikes or lulls through April 15. With April 16 ongoing and one day left, sustained activity could tip toward 320+, while any quiet finale risks the lower 280s, underscoring the market's tight clustering around this established rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Piyasa Açıldı: Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Hacim
$8,979,265Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to 17, 2026, at 37.5% implied probability, with 280-299 (24.4%) and 320-339 (21.3%) close behind, driven by his consistent 35-40 posts-per-day pace confirmed by resolved prior markets like April 3-10 (240-259 tweets) and April 7-14 (280-299). Recent developments, including viral threads on South Africa's Black Economic Empowerment laws and Tesla AI hardware tapeouts, have sustained high engagement without spikes or lulls through April 15. With April 16 ongoing and one day left, sustained activity could tip toward 320+, while any quiet finale risks the lower 280s, underscoring the market's tight clustering around this established rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Hacim
$8,979,265Bitiş Tarihi
17 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETÇözümleme Kaynağı
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10 to 17, 2026, at 37.5% implied probability, with 280-299 (24.4%) and 320-339 (21.3%) close behind, driven by his consistent 35-40 posts-per-day pace confirmed by resolved prior markets like April 3-10 (240-259 tweets) and April 7-14 (280-299). Recent developments, including viral threads on South Africa's Black Economic Empowerment laws and Tesla AI hardware tapeouts, have sustained high engagement without spikes or lulls through April 15. With April 16 ongoing and one day left, sustained activity could tip toward 320+, while any quiet finale risks the lower 280s, underscoring the market's tight clustering around this established rhythm.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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