Trader consensus prices an 83.5% implied probability that President Trump will remain in office through 2026, reflecting skepticism toward recent Democratic calls for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment following his April 7 threats against Iran amid escalating tensions. Rep. John Larson filed articles of impeachment that day, citing war powers violations, while dozens of Democrats and groups like the NAACP urged his removal, but these lack Republican support in the GOP-controlled House, where simple majority is needed for impeachment and a two-thirds Senate supermajority for conviction. No cabinet or Vice President Vance signals of action have emerged, and historical precedents from Trump's prior impeachments underscore procedural hurdles. Absent health crises, resignations, or midterm shifts in November 2026, traders see minimal paths to early exit before 2027.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$7,026,780 Hac.
$7,026,780 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$7,026,780 Hac.
$7,026,780 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices an 83.5% implied probability that President Trump will remain in office through 2026, reflecting skepticism toward recent Democratic calls for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment following his April 7 threats against Iran amid escalating tensions. Rep. John Larson filed articles of impeachment that day, citing war powers violations, while dozens of Democrats and groups like the NAACP urged his removal, but these lack Republican support in the GOP-controlled House, where simple majority is needed for impeachment and a two-thirds Senate supermajority for conviction. No cabinet or Vice President Vance signals of action have emerged, and historical precedents from Trump's prior impeachments underscore procedural hurdles. Absent health crises, resignations, or midterm shifts in November 2026, traders see minimal paths to early exit before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Hacim
$7,026,780Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices an 83.5% implied probability that President Trump will remain in office through 2026, reflecting skepticism toward recent Democratic calls for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment following his April 7 threats against Iran amid escalating tensions. Rep. John Larson filed articles of impeachment that day, citing war powers violations, while dozens of Democrats and groups like the NAACP urged his removal, but these lack Republican support in the GOP-controlled House, where simple majority is needed for impeachment and a two-thirds Senate supermajority for conviction. No cabinet or Vice President Vance signals of action have emerged, and historical precedents from Trump's prior impeachments underscore procedural hurdles. Absent health crises, resignations, or midterm shifts in November 2026, traders see minimal paths to early exit before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$7,026,780Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices an 83.5% implied probability that President Trump will remain in office through 2026, reflecting skepticism toward recent Democratic calls for impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment following his April 7 threats against Iran amid escalating tensions. Rep. John Larson filed articles of impeachment that day, citing war powers violations, while dozens of Democrats and groups like the NAACP urged his removal, but these lack Republican support in the GOP-controlled House, where simple majority is needed for impeachment and a two-thirds Senate supermajority for conviction. No cabinet or Vice President Vance signals of action have emerged, and historical precedents from Trump's prior impeachments underscore procedural hurdles. Absent health crises, resignations, or midterm shifts in November 2026, traders see minimal paths to early exit before 2027.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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