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Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

Kaliforniya Valisi önseçiminden kim öne geçecek?

Market icon
Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

Kaliforniya Valisi önseçiminden kim öne geçecek?

$520,794 Hac.

2 Haz 2026
Polymarket

$520,794 Hac.

Polymarket

Steve Hilton

$34,596 Hac.

77%

Tom Steyer

$21,983 Hac.

75%

Chad Bianco

$16,853 Hac.

20%

Matt Mahan

$11,295 Hac.

18%

Katie Porter

$6,400 Hac.

17%

Xavier Becerra

$6,107 Hac.

9%

Elaine Culotti

$1 Hac.

7%

Derek Grasty

$13,258 Hac.

5%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$11,621 Hac.

4%

Ethan Agarwal

$2,470 Hac.

4%

Jimmy Parker

$0 Hac.

3%

Sharifah Hardie

$0 Hac.

3%

Ché Ahn

$17,926 Hac.

3%

Dylan Colbert

$13,381 Hac.

3%

Daniel Mercuri

$8,339 Hac.

3%

Sophia Brink

$37,787 Hac.

3%

David Thelen

$750 Hac.

3%

Nicki Minaj

$3,172 Hac.

3%

Betty Yee

$2,833 Hac.

3%

Ian Calderon

$112,145 Hac.

3%

Brandon Jones

$35,770 Hac.

2%

Leo Zacky

$0 Hac.

2%

Raji Rab

$2,327 Hac.

2%

Ramsey Robinson

$2,831 Hac.

2%

Nicholas Thompson

$6,683 Hac.

2%

Javen Allen

$0 Hac.

11%

Kyle Langford

$10,741 Hac.

2%

Carolina Buhler

$7,548 Hac.

2%

Ryan Tillman

$1,504 Hac.

2%

Zoltan Istvan

$11,488 Hac.

2%

David Serpa

$4,501 Hac.

2%

Leonard Jackson

$3,281 Hac.

2%

Butch Ware

$7,573 Hac.

2%

Thunder Parley

$50,670 Hac.

1%

Tony Thurmond

$1,394 Hac.

1%

Eric Swalwell

$53,565 Hac.

1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's nonpartisan top-two primary for governor on June 2, 2026, a fragmented Democratic field and recent U.S. Rep. Eric Swalwell's April 13 withdrawal amid sexual misconduct allegations have heightened uncertainty, scrambling voter consolidation among contenders like Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, Xavier Becerra, and Antonio Villaraigosa. Recent San Diego Tribune/Survey USA polling (April 8-10) shows Steyer at 21%, Republican Steve Hilton at 18%, Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco at 8%, and Porter at 8%, with 18% undecided, positioning Republicans to potentially claim both general election spots in the blue state. Gov. Gavin Newsom's reluctance to endorse adds to the volatility ahead of early voting, as high undecided rates and GOP consolidation could tip the outcome.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Hacim
$520,794
Bitiş Tarihi
2 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.In California's nonpartisan top-two primary for governor on June 2, 2026, a fragmented Democratic field and recent U.S. Rep. Eric Swalwell's April 13 withdrawal amid sexual misconduct allegations have heightened uncertainty, scrambling voter consolidation among contenders like Tom Steyer, Katie Porter, Xavier Becerra, and Antonio Villaraigosa. Recent San Diego Tribune/Survey USA polling (April 8-10) shows Steyer at 21%, Republican Steve Hilton at 18%, Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco at 8%, and Porter at 8%, with 18% undecided, positioning Republicans to potentially claim both general election spots in the blue state. Gov. Gavin Newsom's reluctance to endorse adds to the volatility ahead of early voting, as high undecided rates and GOP consolidation could tip the outcome.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Hacim
$520,794
Bitiş Tarihi
2 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Kaliforniya Valisi önseçiminden kim öne geçecek?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 36 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 77% ile "Steve Hilton", ardından 75% ile "Tom Steyer" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 77¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 77% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Kaliforniya Valisi önseçiminden kim öne geçecek?" toplam $520.8K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Dec 4, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Kaliforniya Valisi önseçiminden kim öne geçecek?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 36 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Kaliforniya Valisi önseçiminden kim öne geçecek?" için mevcut favori 77% ile "Steve Hilton"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 77% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 75% ile "Tom Steyer"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Kaliforniya Valisi önseçiminden kim öne geçecek?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.