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Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Siyaset·PRIMARIEL

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Ben McAdams 74%

Nate Blouin 20%

Kathleen Riebe <1%

Luz Escamilla <1%

Polymarket

$24,731 Hac.

Ben McAdams 74%

Nate Blouin 20%

Kathleen Riebe <1%

Luz Escamilla <1%

Polymarket

$24,731 Hac.

Ben McAdams

$6,906 Hac.

74%

Nate Blouin

$3,710 Hac.

20%

Kathleen Riebe

$1,305 Hac.

1%

Luz Escamilla

$5,524 Hac.

1%

Brian King

$817 Hac.

1%

Erin Mendenhall

$4,181 Hac.

<1%

Jenny Wilson

$944 Hac.

<1%

Caroline Gleich

$668 Hac.

<1%

Kael Weston

$677 Hac.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holds a commanding 74% implied probability in trader consensus for the Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by a late-March Data for Progress poll showing him at 36% to state Sen. Nate Blouin's 23%, bolstered by name recognition from his prior service and recent momentum from Salt Lake County Council member Kathleen Riebe's dropout and endorsement four days ago, citing Blouin's volatility. Blouin's 20% share reflects progressive endorsements like the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC but has slipped amid fresh scrutiny of his old social media posts mocking Mormons and joking about sexual assault, reported within the last day. A conservative dark money super PAC's $611,000 ad buy boosting McAdams underscores fears of a progressive nominee in this newly drawn D+14 district. The April 25 state convention could shift dynamics via delegate support ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$24,731
Bitiş Tarihi
23 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams holds a commanding 74% implied probability in trader consensus for the Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by a late-March Data for Progress poll showing him at 36% to state Sen. Nate Blouin's 23%, bolstered by name recognition from his prior service and recent momentum from Salt Lake County Council member Kathleen Riebe's dropout and endorsement four days ago, citing Blouin's volatility. Blouin's 20% share reflects progressive endorsements like the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC but has slipped amid fresh scrutiny of his old social media posts mocking Mormons and joking about sexual assault, reported within the last day. A conservative dark money super PAC's $611,000 ad buy boosting McAdams underscores fears of a progressive nominee in this newly drawn D+14 district. The April 25 state convention could shift dynamics via delegate support ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$24,731
Bitiş Tarihi
23 Haz 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 9 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 74% ile "Ben McAdams", ardından 20% ile "Nate Blouin" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 74¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 74% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" toplam $24.7K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Nov 25, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 9 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" için mevcut favori 74% ile "Ben McAdams"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 74% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 20% ile "Nate Blouin"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.