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Seçimler·Pennsylvania Primary

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Seçimler·Pennsylvania Primary

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bob Brooks 61%

Ryan Crosswell 37%

Lamont McClure 9.7%

Carol Obando-Derstine 2.3%

Polymarket

$14,234 Hac.

Bob Brooks 61%

Ryan Crosswell 37%

Lamont McClure 9.7%

Carol Obando-Derstine 2.3%

Polymarket

$14,234 Hac.

Bob Brooks

$1,891 Hac.

61%

Ryan Crosswell

$2,241 Hac.

37%

Lamont McClure

$2,841 Hac.

10%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$3,988 Hac.

2%

Aiden Gonzalez

$1,308 Hac.

2%

Lewis Shupe

$1,966 Hac.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Bob Brooks at 60.5% to win the PA-07 Democratic primary on May 19, driven by a recent Change Research survey showing him surging to 30% support after voters received biographical information—well ahead of Ryan Crosswell's 18%—amid 53% initial undecideds. Brooks benefits from endorsements by the Working Families Party and withdrawn candidate Aiden Gonzalez, plus his profile as Pennsylvania firefighters union president resonating in the Lehigh Valley battleground. Crosswell holds at 35.5% on strong fundraising (~$434,000 cash-on-hand) and credentials as a Marine veteran and former federal prosecutor, bolstered by a new TV ad. The April 1 debate and PAC spending keep the race competitive, with Lamont McClure trailing at 6.6%.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$14,234
Bitiş Tarihi
19 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Bob Brooks at 60.5% to win the PA-07 Democratic primary on May 19, driven by a recent Change Research survey showing him surging to 30% support after voters received biographical information—well ahead of Ryan Crosswell's 18%—amid 53% initial undecideds. Brooks benefits from endorsements by the Working Families Party and withdrawn candidate Aiden Gonzalez, plus his profile as Pennsylvania firefighters union president resonating in the Lehigh Valley battleground. Crosswell holds at 35.5% on strong fundraising (~$434,000 cash-on-hand) and credentials as a Marine veteran and former federal prosecutor, bolstered by a new TV ad. The April 1 debate and PAC spending keep the race competitive, with Lamont McClure trailing at 6.6%.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$14,234
Bitiş Tarihi
19 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 6 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 61% ile "Bob Brooks", ardından 37% ile "Ryan Crosswell" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 61¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 61% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" toplam $14.2K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Mar 20, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 6 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" için mevcut favori 61% ile "Bob Brooks"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 61% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 37% ile "Ryan Crosswell"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.