Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from the MN-02 Republican primary on April 16, 2026, due to impending Marine Reserves deployment to the Middle East, has propelled state Sen. Eric Pratt to overwhelming trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability as the nominee. As the primary challenger with prior runs in 2020 and 2022, Kistner's exit—announced without an endorsement of Pratt—leaves the four-term senator as the lone major contender in the open-seat race vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid. With the August 11 primary months away, traders reflect skin-in-the-game confidence in Pratt's path amid minimal competition, though late entrants or write-ins could shift dynamics. Kistner's slim 2.3% odds linger on incomplete market adjustment post-dropout.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$15,695 Hac.
$15,695 Hac.
11 Ağu 2026
Eric Pratt
88%
Tyler Kistner
2%
$15,695 Hac.
$15,695 Hac.
11 Ağu 2026
Eric Pratt
$2,623 Hac.
88%
Tyler Kistner
$13,071 Hac.
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from the MN-02 Republican primary on April 16, 2026, due to impending Marine Reserves deployment to the Middle East, has propelled state Sen. Eric Pratt to overwhelming trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability as the nominee. As the primary challenger with prior runs in 2020 and 2022, Kistner's exit—announced without an endorsement of Pratt—leaves the four-term senator as the lone major contender in the open-seat race vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid. With the August 11 primary months away, traders reflect skin-in-the-game confidence in Pratt's path amid minimal competition, though late entrants or write-ins could shift dynamics. Kistner's slim 2.3% odds linger on incomplete market adjustment post-dropout.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Hacim
$15,695Bitiş Tarihi
11 Ağu 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from the MN-02 Republican primary on April 16, 2026, due to impending Marine Reserves deployment to the Middle East, has propelled state Sen. Eric Pratt to overwhelming trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability as the nominee. As the primary challenger with prior runs in 2020 and 2022, Kistner's exit—announced without an endorsement of Pratt—leaves the four-term senator as the lone major contender in the open-seat race vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid. With the August 11 primary months away, traders reflect skin-in-the-game confidence in Pratt's path amid minimal competition, though late entrants or write-ins could shift dynamics. Kistner's slim 2.3% odds linger on incomplete market adjustment post-dropout.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$15,695Bitiş Tarihi
11 Ağu 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tyler Kistner's withdrawal from the MN-02 Republican primary on April 16, 2026, due to impending Marine Reserves deployment to the Middle East, has propelled state Sen. Eric Pratt to overwhelming trader consensus at 87.5% implied probability as the nominee. As the primary challenger with prior runs in 2020 and 2022, Kistner's exit—announced without an endorsement of Pratt—leaves the four-term senator as the lone major contender in the open-seat race vacated by Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid. With the August 11 primary months away, traders reflect skin-in-the-game confidence in Pratt's path amid minimal competition, though late entrants or write-ins could shift dynamics. Kistner's slim 2.3% odds linger on incomplete market adjustment post-dropout.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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