Trader consensus favors 600,000–900,000 voters (48.5%) in the May 26 Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, reflecting historical runoff turnout drops of 60–70% from initial primaries amid voter fatigue, even after the March 3 record GOP turnout exceeding 1 million driven by the multicandidate field. Recent polls, including one from hours ago showing Cornyn edging Paxton by 1 point, sustain base enthusiasm without sparking crossover or massive mobilization, positioning 1.2–1.5 million (25.3%) and 900,000–1.2 million (20.5%) as next likeliest while downplaying higher bins below 10%. Early voting starts May 18, with registration deadline April 27 as key catalysts ahead.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTurnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
0.9–1.2M 16%
<0.6M 14%
1.5–1.8M 5.0%
2.4–2.7M 1.9%
$37,624 Hac.
$37,624 Hac.
26 May 2026
<0.6M
19%
0.6–0.9M
38%
0.9–1.2M
21%
1.2–1.5M
37%
1.5–1.8M
5%
1.8–2.1M
2%
2.1–2.4M
1%
2.4–2.7M
2%
2.7M+
1%
0.9–1.2M 16%
<0.6M 14%
1.5–1.8M 5.0%
2.4–2.7M 1.9%
$37,624 Hac.
$37,624 Hac.
26 May 2026
<0.6M
$795 Hac.
19%
0.6–0.9M
$30,343 Hac.
38%
0.9–1.2M
$664 Hac.
21%
1.2–1.5M
$4,023 Hac.
37%
1.5–1.8M
$282 Hac.
5%
1.8–2.1M
$545 Hac.
2%
2.1–2.4M
$255 Hac.
1%
2.4–2.7M
$410 Hac.
2%
2.7M+
$306 Hac.
1%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors 600,000–900,000 voters (48.5%) in the May 26 Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, reflecting historical runoff turnout drops of 60–70% from initial primaries amid voter fatigue, even after the March 3 record GOP turnout exceeding 1 million driven by the multicandidate field. Recent polls, including one from hours ago showing Cornyn edging Paxton by 1 point, sustain base enthusiasm without sparking crossover or massive mobilization, positioning 1.2–1.5 million (25.3%) and 900,000–1.2 million (20.5%) as next likeliest while downplaying higher bins below 10%. Early voting starts May 18, with registration deadline April 27 as key catalysts ahead.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Hacim
$37,624Bitiş Tarihi
26 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors 600,000–900,000 voters (48.5%) in the May 26 Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, reflecting historical runoff turnout drops of 60–70% from initial primaries amid voter fatigue, even after the March 3 record GOP turnout exceeding 1 million driven by the multicandidate field. Recent polls, including one from hours ago showing Cornyn edging Paxton by 1 point, sustain base enthusiasm without sparking crossover or massive mobilization, positioning 1.2–1.5 million (25.3%) and 900,000–1.2 million (20.5%) as next likeliest while downplaying higher bins below 10%. Early voting starts May 18, with registration deadline April 27 as key catalysts ahead.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Hacim
$37,624Bitiş Tarihi
26 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 600,000–900,000 voters (48.5%) in the May 26 Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, reflecting historical runoff turnout drops of 60–70% from initial primaries amid voter fatigue, even after the March 3 record GOP turnout exceeding 1 million driven by the multicandidate field. Recent polls, including one from hours ago showing Cornyn edging Paxton by 1 point, sustain base enthusiasm without sparking crossover or massive mobilization, positioning 1.2–1.5 million (25.3%) and 900,000–1.2 million (20.5%) as next likeliest while downplaying higher bins below 10%. Early voting starts May 18, with registration deadline April 27 as key catalysts ahead.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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