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Seçimler·Teksas Senatosu

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

Market icon
Seçimler·Teksas Senatosu

Will Ken Paxton drop out?

10% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
10% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton's steadfast commitment to his U.S. Senate bid drives the 90.5% "No" trader consensus on him dropping out of the Republican primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, scheduled for May 26.** Despite floating a conditional withdrawal in early March—tied to Senate GOP leadership scrapping the filibuster for the SAVE America Act voter ID bill, which did not occur—Paxton declined to exit by the March 17 ballot removal deadline, locking both candidates in for the contest. No subsequent official statements or events signal retreat, bolstered by his prior impeachment acquittal and resilient GOP base amid Trump endorsement anticipation. Late shifts remain possible via scandals, legal rulings, or decisive backing, but current pricing reflects low near-term risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$5,112
Bitiş Tarihi
25 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton's steadfast commitment to his U.S. Senate bid drives the 90.5% "No" trader consensus on him dropping out of the Republican primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, scheduled for May 26.** Despite floating a conditional withdrawal in early March—tied to Senate GOP leadership scrapping the filibuster for the SAVE America Act voter ID bill, which did not occur—Paxton declined to exit by the March 17 ballot removal deadline, locking both candidates in for the contest. No subsequent official statements or events signal retreat, bolstered by his prior impeachment acquittal and resilient GOP base amid Trump endorsement anticipation. Late shifts remain possible via scandals, legal rulings, or decisive backing, but current pricing reflects low near-term risk.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$5,112
Bitiş Tarihi
25 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Will Ken Paxton drop out?", yatırımcıların bu olayın gerçekleşip gerçekleşmeyeceğine inançlarına göre "Evet" veya "Hayır" hisseleri alıp sattığı Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut kitle kaynaklı olasılık "Yes" için 10%'dir. Örneğin, "Evet" 10¢ fiyatındaysa, piyasa toplu olarak bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 10% olarak belirler. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"Will Ken Paxton drop out?" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Mar 9, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"Will Ken Paxton drop out?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için cevabın "Evet" mi yoksa "Hayır" mı olacağına inandığınızı seçin. Her tarafın piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını yansıtan bir güncel fiyatı vardır. Miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. "Evet" hisseleri satın alırsanız ve sonuç "Evet" olarak çözümlenirse, her hisse 1$ öder. "Hayır" olarak çözümlenirse, "Evet" hisseleriniz 0$ öder. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Will Ken Paxton drop out?" için mevcut olasılık "Yes" için 10%'dir. Bu, Polymarket topluluğunun şu anda bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 10% olarak gördüğü anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar gerçek işlemlere dayalı olarak gerçek zamanlı güncellenir ve piyasanın ne olmasını beklediğine dair sürekli güncellenen bir sinyal sağlar.

"Will Ken Paxton drop out?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.