James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas' U.S. Senate race in the March 3 primary, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett and positioning him against the Republican runoff winner between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Recent polls, including Co/efficient (April 11-14) and Peak Insights (April 6-9), show Cornyn with a narrow 44%-43% edge in the GOP runoff among likely voters, yet trader consensus prices a Talarico-Paxton general election matchup at 60% implied probability, reflecting Paxton's strong first-round showing (40% vs. Cornyn's 43%), grassroots base support, and skepticism toward Cornyn's incumbency amid primary challenges. Talarico's record $27 million Q1 fundraising, announced April 15, bolsters his path but does not alter nominee dynamics.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTeksas Senatosu Seçim Eşleşmesi
Teksas Senatosu Seçim Eşleşmesi
Talarico & Paxton 60%
Talarico & Cornyn 39%
Diğer <1%
Crockett & Paxton <1%
$667,196 Hac.
$667,196 Hac.
3 Mar 2026
Talarico & Paxton
60%
Talarico & Cornyn
39%
Diğer
1%
Crockett & Paxton
<1%
Crockett & Cornyn
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
<1%
Crockett & Hunt
<1%
Talarico & Paxton 60%
Talarico & Cornyn 39%
Diğer <1%
Crockett & Paxton <1%
$667,196 Hac.
$667,196 Hac.
3 Mar 2026
Talarico & Paxton
$249,001 Hac.
60%
Talarico & Cornyn
$178,064 Hac.
39%
Diğer
$26,474 Hac.
1%
Crockett & Paxton
$104,197 Hac.
<1%
Crockett & Cornyn
$64,298 Hac.
<1%
Talarico & Hunt
$22,572 Hac.
<1%
Crockett & Hunt
$22,592 Hac.
<1%
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas' U.S. Senate race in the March 3 primary, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett and positioning him against the Republican runoff winner between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Recent polls, including Co/efficient (April 11-14) and Peak Insights (April 6-9), show Cornyn with a narrow 44%-43% edge in the GOP runoff among likely voters, yet trader consensus prices a Talarico-Paxton general election matchup at 60% implied probability, reflecting Paxton's strong first-round showing (40% vs. Cornyn's 43%), grassroots base support, and skepticism toward Cornyn's incumbency amid primary challenges. Talarico's record $27 million Q1 fundraising, announced April 15, bolsters his path but does not alter nominee dynamics.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Hacim
$667,196Bitiş Tarihi
3 Mar 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas' U.S. Senate race in the March 3 primary, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett and positioning him against the Republican runoff winner between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Recent polls, including Co/efficient (April 11-14) and Peak Insights (April 6-9), show Cornyn with a narrow 44%-43% edge in the GOP runoff among likely voters, yet trader consensus prices a Talarico-Paxton general election matchup at 60% implied probability, reflecting Paxton's strong first-round showing (40% vs. Cornyn's 43%), grassroots base support, and skepticism toward Cornyn's incumbency amid primary challenges. Talarico's record $27 million Q1 fundraising, announced April 15, bolsters his path but does not alter nominee dynamics.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Hacim
$667,196Bitiş Tarihi
3 Mar 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination for Texas' U.S. Senate race in the March 3 primary, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett and positioning him against the Republican runoff winner between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Recent polls, including Co/efficient (April 11-14) and Peak Insights (April 6-9), show Cornyn with a narrow 44%-43% edge in the GOP runoff among likely voters, yet trader consensus prices a Talarico-Paxton general election matchup at 60% implied probability, reflecting Paxton's strong first-round showing (40% vs. Cornyn's 43%), grassroots base support, and skepticism toward Cornyn's incumbency amid primary challenges. Talarico's record $27 million Q1 fundraising, announced April 15, bolsters his path but does not alter nominee dynamics.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular