Polls in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff show a razor-thin contest between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton ahead of the May 26 vote, with aggregators like RealClearPolling giving Paxton a slight 45.5%-40% edge among likely voters, though recent independent surveys such as Coefficient (44%-43% Cornyn) and pro-Cornyn Peak Insights (44%-43%) indicate a dead heat. Trader consensus fragments across narrow margins, reflecting Paxton's firmer base enthusiasm in the low-turnout runoff—bolstered by CPAC's March endorsement—offset by Cornyn's fundraising edge and recent backing like George W. Bush's donation. Absent President Trump's pledged endorsement, uncertainty persists; it or late shifts in voter mobilization could widen the margin beyond 3-6%.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiPaxton 9%+ 28.0%
Cornyn <3% 22.4%
Cornyn 9%+ 14%
Paxton 6–9% 13%
$53,508 Hac.
$53,508 Hac.
25 May 2026
Paxton 9%+
28%
Paxton 6–9%
13%
Paxton 3–6%
11%
Paxton <3%
10%
Cornyn <3%
22%
Cornyn 3–6%
6%
Cornyn 6–9%
3%
Cornyn 9%+
14%
Paxton 9%+ 28.0%
Cornyn <3% 22.4%
Cornyn 9%+ 14%
Paxton 6–9% 13%
$53,508 Hac.
$53,508 Hac.
25 May 2026
Paxton 9%+
$10,555 Hac.
28%
Paxton 6–9%
$5,877 Hac.
13%
Paxton 3–6%
$4,774 Hac.
11%
Paxton <3%
$6,427 Hac.
10%
Cornyn <3%
$4,694 Hac.
22%
Cornyn 3–6%
$4,729 Hac.
6%
Cornyn 6–9%
$5,211 Hac.
3%
Cornyn 9%+
$11,241 Hac.
14%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Polls in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff show a razor-thin contest between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton ahead of the May 26 vote, with aggregators like RealClearPolling giving Paxton a slight 45.5%-40% edge among likely voters, though recent independent surveys such as Coefficient (44%-43% Cornyn) and pro-Cornyn Peak Insights (44%-43%) indicate a dead heat. Trader consensus fragments across narrow margins, reflecting Paxton's firmer base enthusiasm in the low-turnout runoff—bolstered by CPAC's March endorsement—offset by Cornyn's fundraising edge and recent backing like George W. Bush's donation. Absent President Trump's pledged endorsement, uncertainty persists; it or late shifts in voter mobilization could widen the margin beyond 3-6%.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Hacim
$53,508Bitiş Tarihi
25 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Polls in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff show a razor-thin contest between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton ahead of the May 26 vote, with aggregators like RealClearPolling giving Paxton a slight 45.5%-40% edge among likely voters, though recent independent surveys such as Coefficient (44%-43% Cornyn) and pro-Cornyn Peak Insights (44%-43%) indicate a dead heat. Trader consensus fragments across narrow margins, reflecting Paxton's firmer base enthusiasm in the low-turnout runoff—bolstered by CPAC's March endorsement—offset by Cornyn's fundraising edge and recent backing like George W. Bush's donation. Absent President Trump's pledged endorsement, uncertainty persists; it or late shifts in voter mobilization could widen the margin beyond 3-6%.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Hacim
$53,508Bitiş Tarihi
25 May 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polls in the Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff show a razor-thin contest between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton ahead of the May 26 vote, with aggregators like RealClearPolling giving Paxton a slight 45.5%-40% edge among likely voters, though recent independent surveys such as Coefficient (44%-43% Cornyn) and pro-Cornyn Peak Insights (44%-43%) indicate a dead heat. Trader consensus fragments across narrow margins, reflecting Paxton's firmer base enthusiasm in the low-turnout runoff—bolstered by CPAC's March endorsement—offset by Cornyn's fundraising edge and recent backing like George W. Bush's donation. Absent President Trump's pledged endorsement, uncertainty persists; it or late shifts in voter mobilization could widen the margin beyond 3-6%.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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