In the closely contested Los Angeles mayoral primary set for June 2, trader consensus favors City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 44% implied probability, driven by a controversial late-March poll showing her leading with 33% support amid progressive momentum from her surprise entry and strong housing policy focus. Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass trails at 29.5%, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with her homelessness response and recent wildfire handling despite leads in other polls like the April 3 UCLA Luskin survey (25% support amid 40% undecided). Reality TV star Spencer Pratt's 19% surge stems from his post-Palisades fire criticism gaining traction with undecided voters, highlighting race volatility as debates and endorsements loom before the top-two runoff qualifier.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiLos Angeles Belediye Başkanlığı Seçimleri
Los Angeles Belediye Başkanlığı Seçimleri
Nithya Raman 44%
Karen Bass 29%
Spencer Pratt 19%
Rae Huang 5.0%
$893,541 Hac.
$893,541 Hac.
Nithya Raman
44%
Karen Bass
29%
Spencer Pratt
19%
Rae Huang
5%
Adam Miller
2%
Asaad Alnajjar
1%
Gina Viola
1%
Rick Caruso
<1%
Austin Beutner
<1%
Monica Rodriguez
<1%
Lindsey Horvath
<1%
Nithya Raman 44%
Karen Bass 29%
Spencer Pratt 19%
Rae Huang 5.0%
$893,541 Hac.
$893,541 Hac.
Nithya Raman
44%
Karen Bass
29%
Spencer Pratt
19%
Rae Huang
5%
Adam Miller
2%
Asaad Alnajjar
1%
Gina Viola
1%
Rick Caruso
<1%
Austin Beutner
<1%
Monica Rodriguez
<1%
Lindsey Horvath
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the closely contested Los Angeles mayoral primary set for June 2, trader consensus favors City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 44% implied probability, driven by a controversial late-March poll showing her leading with 33% support amid progressive momentum from her surprise entry and strong housing policy focus. Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass trails at 29.5%, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with her homelessness response and recent wildfire handling despite leads in other polls like the April 3 UCLA Luskin survey (25% support amid 40% undecided). Reality TV star Spencer Pratt's 19% surge stems from his post-Palisades fire criticism gaining traction with undecided voters, highlighting race volatility as debates and endorsements loom before the top-two runoff qualifier.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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