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Seçimler·Pennsylvania Primary

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Seçimler·Pennsylvania Primary

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Janelle Stelson 94%

Justin Douglas 3.6%

Jason Cass 3.0%

Michael Robinson <1%

Polymarket

$15,400 Hac.

Janelle Stelson 94%

Justin Douglas 3.6%

Jason Cass 3.0%

Michael Robinson <1%

Polymarket

$15,400 Hac.

Janelle Stelson

$4,380 Hac.

94%

Justin Douglas

$836 Hac.

4%

Jason Cass

$8,370 Hac.

3%

Michael Robinson

$926 Hac.

<1%

William Lillich

$889 Hac.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Janelle Stelson's 93.5% implied probability in the PA-10 Democratic primary stems from her dominant Q1 fundraising haul of over $2.1 million, announced April 13, leaving her with $3 million cash-on-hand—dwarfing rivals ahead of the May 19 closed primary.** This reflects trader consensus on her name recognition from narrowly losing the 2024 general election to Rep. Scott Perry by less than 1 point, plus early DCCC "Red to Blue" backing positioning her as the strongest general election contender in this battleground district. Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas trails with recent local endorsements but faces an uphill battle on resources and electability attacks. Challengers like Jason Cass remain marginal. Upsets could arise from a debate breakthrough, Stelson scandal, or progressive turnout surge, though her financial edge makes shifts unlikely absent major catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$15,400
Bitiş Tarihi
19 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Janelle Stelson's 93.5% implied probability in the PA-10 Democratic primary stems from her dominant Q1 fundraising haul of over $2.1 million, announced April 13, leaving her with $3 million cash-on-hand—dwarfing rivals ahead of the May 19 closed primary.** This reflects trader consensus on her name recognition from narrowly losing the 2024 general election to Rep. Scott Perry by less than 1 point, plus early DCCC "Red to Blue" backing positioning her as the strongest general election contender in this battleground district. Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas trails with recent local endorsements but faces an uphill battle on resources and electability attacks. Challengers like Jason Cass remain marginal. Upsets could arise from a debate breakthrough, Stelson scandal, or progressive turnout surge, though her financial edge makes shifts unlikely absent major catalysts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hacim
$15,400
Bitiş Tarihi
19 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 5 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 94% ile "Janelle Stelson", ardından 4% ile "Justin Douglas" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 94¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 94% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner" toplam $15.4K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Mar 3, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 5 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner" için mevcut favori 94% ile "Janelle Stelson"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 94% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 4% ile "Justin Douglas"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.