Trader consensus prices a tight contest for Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, with probabilities clustered around 47-51 Republican seats reflecting the GOP's current 53-47 majority amid a favorable defensive map offset by key vulnerabilities. Recent retirements by Republicans Thom Tillis in North Carolina and Joni Ernst in Iowa have opened competitive seats in Trump-won battlegrounds, while polls show narrowing leads for Susan Collins in Maine and Jon Ossoff's defense in Georgia; Cook Political Report's early April shifts of four races toward Democrats signal growing contention. Midterm headwinds tied to economic pressures and administration performance keep odds dispersed, with upcoming primaries in June—like Maine's on June 9—and polling volatility in Michigan, New Hampshire, and Ohio poised to create separation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$2,078,047 Hac.
$2,078,047 Hac.
≤47
26%
48
14%
49
19%
50
15%
51
17%
52
5%
53
3%
54
2%
55
1%
56
2%
57+
1%
$2,078,047 Hac.
$2,078,047 Hac.
≤47
$37,704 Hac.
26%
48
$16,988 Hac.
14%
49
$12,536 Hac.
19%
50
$61,663 Hac.
15%
51
$159,065 Hac.
17%
52
$506,041 Hac.
5%
53
$13,743 Hac.
3%
54
$707,392 Hac.
2%
55
$392,115 Hac.
1%
56
$140,581 Hac.
2%
57+
$30,219 Hac.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a tight contest for Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, with probabilities clustered around 47-51 Republican seats reflecting the GOP's current 53-47 majority amid a favorable defensive map offset by key vulnerabilities. Recent retirements by Republicans Thom Tillis in North Carolina and Joni Ernst in Iowa have opened competitive seats in Trump-won battlegrounds, while polls show narrowing leads for Susan Collins in Maine and Jon Ossoff's defense in Georgia; Cook Political Report's early April shifts of four races toward Democrats signal growing contention. Midterm headwinds tied to economic pressures and administration performance keep odds dispersed, with upcoming primaries in June—like Maine's on June 9—and polling volatility in Michigan, New Hampshire, and Ohio poised to create separation.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ET
Hacim
$2,078,047Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a tight contest for Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, with probabilities clustered around 47-51 Republican seats reflecting the GOP's current 53-47 majority amid a favorable defensive map offset by key vulnerabilities. Recent retirements by Republicans Thom Tillis in North Carolina and Joni Ernst in Iowa have opened competitive seats in Trump-won battlegrounds, while polls show narrowing leads for Susan Collins in Maine and Jon Ossoff's defense in Georgia; Cook Political Report's early April shifts of four races toward Democrats signal growing contention. Midterm headwinds tied to economic pressures and administration performance keep odds dispersed, with upcoming primaries in June—like Maine's on June 9—and polling volatility in Michigan, New Hampshire, and Ohio poised to create separation.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Hacim
$2,078,047Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a tight contest for Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, with probabilities clustered around 47-51 Republican seats reflecting the GOP's current 53-47 majority amid a favorable defensive map offset by key vulnerabilities. Recent retirements by Republicans Thom Tillis in North Carolina and Joni Ernst in Iowa have opened competitive seats in Trump-won battlegrounds, while polls show narrowing leads for Susan Collins in Maine and Jon Ossoff's defense in Georgia; Cook Political Report's early April shifts of four races toward Democrats signal growing contention. Midterm headwinds tied to economic pressures and administration performance keep odds dispersed, with upcoming primaries in June—like Maine's on June 9—and polling volatility in Michigan, New Hampshire, and Ohio poised to create separation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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