Republican control of the House with a slim 218-213 majority, plus vacancies, underpins the 97.4% trader consensus against impeachment by June 30, as articles require simple majority passage—a threshold unmet without GOP defections. Recent Democratic efforts, including Rep. John Larson's April 7 articles and calls from dozens invoking the 25th Amendment over Trump's Iran threats, generated brief chatter but stalled amid partisan divides and no committee action. Senate conviction demands 67 votes, infeasible with the GOP's 53-47 edge. Realistic shifts hinge on extraordinary scandals prompting bipartisan support or special elections flipping House control before the deadline, though historical patterns favor stability absent such catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$291,861 Hac.
$291,861 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
Evet
$291,861 Hac.
$291,861 Hac.
30 Haz 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House with a slim 218-213 majority, plus vacancies, underpins the 97.4% trader consensus against impeachment by June 30, as articles require simple majority passage—a threshold unmet without GOP defections. Recent Democratic efforts, including Rep. John Larson's April 7 articles and calls from dozens invoking the 25th Amendment over Trump's Iran threats, generated brief chatter but stalled amid partisan divides and no committee action. Senate conviction demands 67 votes, infeasible with the GOP's 53-47 edge. Realistic shifts hinge on extraordinary scandals prompting bipartisan support or special elections flipping House control before the deadline, though historical patterns favor stability absent such catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
Hacim
$291,861Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House with a slim 218-213 majority, plus vacancies, underpins the 97.4% trader consensus against impeachment by June 30, as articles require simple majority passage—a threshold unmet without GOP defections. Recent Democratic efforts, including Rep. John Larson's April 7 articles and calls from dozens invoking the 25th Amendment over Trump's Iran threats, generated brief chatter but stalled amid partisan divides and no committee action. Senate conviction demands 67 votes, infeasible with the GOP's 53-47 edge. Realistic shifts hinge on extraordinary scandals prompting bipartisan support or special elections flipping House control before the deadline, though historical patterns favor stability absent such catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Hacim
$291,861Bitiş Tarihi
30 Haz 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the House with a slim 218-213 majority, plus vacancies, underpins the 97.4% trader consensus against impeachment by June 30, as articles require simple majority passage—a threshold unmet without GOP defections. Recent Democratic efforts, including Rep. John Larson's April 7 articles and calls from dozens invoking the 25th Amendment over Trump's Iran threats, generated brief chatter but stalled amid partisan divides and no committee action. Senate conviction demands 67 votes, infeasible with the GOP's 53-47 edge. Realistic shifts hinge on extraordinary scandals prompting bipartisan support or special elections flipping House control before the deadline, though historical patterns favor stability absent such catalysts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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