Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) resigned from Congress on April 15 amid a House Ethics Committee probe launched March 4 into sexual misconduct allegations, including his admitted extramarital affair with a former staffer who later died by suicide and April 6 reports of lewd texts sent to another campaign aide requesting nude photos. Bipartisan calls for expulsion accelerated his departure, but traders price Yes at 56.5% on expectations that these credible claims—now outside congressional jurisdiction—could escalate to criminal charges by DOJ, state prosecutors, or related authorities before June 30, highlighting the closely contested risks in this post-resignation window.