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Siyaset·Swalwell

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales ve Cherfilus - McCormick 31 Mayıs'a kadar hepsi bitti mi?

Market icon
Siyaset·Swalwell

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales ve Cherfilus - McCormick 31 Mayıs'a kadar hepsi bitti mi?

Evet

45% olasılık
Polymarket

$18,281 Hac.

Evet

45% olasılık
Polymarket

$18,281 Hac.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus favors "No" at 55% implied probability that Reps. Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick will all cease serving in the House by May 31, reflecting recent resignations by Swalwell and Gonzales amid sexual misconduct allegations and House Ethics Committee probes that spurred expulsion resolutions. With those two out as of April 14, attention has shifted to remaining Florida Reps. Mills (R) and Cherfilus-McCormick (D), who face similar calls for resignation or expulsion—Speaker Johnson predicted the latter's ouster—but both deny wrongdoing and benefit from party protections in the GOP's slim House majority. Expulsion requires a two-thirds vote, a high bar historically met only twice since 1861 outside Civil War cases, tempering expectations for swift action despite scheduled floor votes this week.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$18,281
Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus favors "No" at 55% implied probability that Reps. Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick will all cease serving in the House by May 31, reflecting recent resignations by Swalwell and Gonzales amid sexual misconduct allegations and House Ethics Committee probes that spurred expulsion resolutions. With those two out as of April 14, attention has shifted to remaining Florida Reps. Mills (R) and Cherfilus-McCormick (D), who face similar calls for resignation or expulsion—Speaker Johnson predicted the latter's ouster—but both deny wrongdoing and benefit from party protections in the GOP's slim House majority. Expulsion requires a two-thirds vote, a high bar historically met only twice since 1861 outside Civil War cases, tempering expectations for swift action despite scheduled floor votes this week.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$18,331
Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales ve Cherfilus - McCormick 31 Mayıs'a kadar hepsi bitti mi?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 2 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 46% ile "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales ve Cherfilus-McCormick hepsi 31 Mayıs'a kadar elendi mi?"dir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 46¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 46% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales ve Cherfilus - McCormick 31 Mayıs'a kadar hepsi bitti mi?" toplam $18.3K işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Apr 13, 2026 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales ve Cherfilus - McCormick 31 Mayıs'a kadar hepsi bitti mi?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 2 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales ve Cherfilus - McCormick 31 Mayıs'a kadar hepsi bitti mi?" için mevcut favori 46% ile "Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales ve Cherfilus-McCormick hepsi 31 Mayıs'a kadar elendi mi?"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 46% olasılık atamaktadır. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales ve Cherfilus - McCormick 31 Mayıs'a kadar hepsi bitti mi?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.