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Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

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Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?

72% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
72% olasılık
Polymarket
YENİ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Speaker Mike Johnson's April 14 prediction of an imminent expulsion vote against Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-Fla.) has intensified trader consensus at 71.5% odds for her departure from Florida's 20th district by May 31, following the House Ethics Committee's late-March finding of 25 violations, including laundering FEMA disaster aid into her campaign. Bipartisan calls for resignation—from Democrats like Rep. Jim Himes and Republicans—have mounted amid her federal indictment on related fraud charges, though her criminal trial is delayed to February 2027. Cherfilus-McCormick has rejected stepping down, paving the way for a full Ethics Committee recommendation and potential House floor vote requiring a two-thirds majority, a rare threshold met only in severe cases like corruption. No resignation has occurred, but procedural timelines suggest resolution before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$4,790
Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.House Speaker Mike Johnson's April 14 prediction of an imminent expulsion vote against Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-Fla.) has intensified trader consensus at 71.5% odds for her departure from Florida's 20th district by May 31, following the House Ethics Committee's late-March finding of 25 violations, including laundering FEMA disaster aid into her campaign. Bipartisan calls for resignation—from Democrats like Rep. Jim Himes and Republicans—have mounted amid her federal indictment on related fraud charges, though her criminal trial is delayed to February 2027. Cherfilus-McCormick has rejected stepping down, paving the way for a full Ethics Committee recommendation and potential House floor vote requiring a two-thirds majority, a rare threshold met only in severe cases like corruption. No resignation has occurred, but procedural timelines suggest resolution before the deadline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$4,790
Bitiş Tarihi
31 May 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Apr 13, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 20th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cherfilus-Mccormick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?", yatırımcıların bu olayın gerçekleşip gerçekleşmeyeceğine inançlarına göre "Evet" veya "Hayır" hisseleri alıp sattığı Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut kitle kaynaklı olasılık "Yes" için 72%'dir. Örneğin, "Evet" 72¢ fiyatındaysa, piyasa toplu olarak bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 72% olarak belirler. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?" Polymarket'te yeni oluşturulmuş bir piyasadır, Apr 13, 2026 tarihinde açıldı. Erken bir piyasa olarak, ilk yatırımcılar arasında yer alarak oranları belirleme ve piyasanın ilk fiyat sinyallerini oluşturma fırsatına sahipsiniz. Ayrıca piyasa zaman içinde ilgi kazandıkça hacmi ve işlem aktivitesini takip etmek için bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyebilirsiniz.

"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için cevabın "Evet" mi yoksa "Hayır" mı olacağına inandığınızı seçin. Her tarafın piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını yansıtan bir güncel fiyatı vardır. Miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. "Evet" hisseleri satın alırsanız ve sonuç "Evet" olarak çözümlenirse, her hisse 1$ öder. "Hayır" olarak çözümlenirse, "Evet" hisseleriniz 0$ öder. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?" için mevcut olasılık "Yes" için 72%'dir. Bu, Polymarket topluluğunun şu anda bu olayın gerçekleşme olasılığını 72% olarak gördüğü anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar gerçek işlemlere dayalı olarak gerçek zamanlı güncellenir ve piyasanın ne olmasını beklediğine dair sürekli güncellenen bir sinyal sağlar.

"Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.