Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37% probability for President Trump signing 7+ pieces of legislation into law in April, driven by expectations of accelerated congressional output in the session's latter half amid the 119th Congress's focus on bipartisan priorities ahead of midterms. As of April 16, only two bills have been enacted—S.1884 (Holocaust Expropriated Art Recovery Act of 2025) and S.3971 (Small Business Innovation and Economic Security Act)—both signed April 13, boosting the "3" outcome to 26% and nearby tallies like 5 (20%) and 6 (21%). This follows Trump's March threat to veto bills until passage of the SAVE Act, which lapsed without action, enabling narrow measures while major appropriations concluded earlier; few bills await signature, with House floor votes slated post-April 20 potentially shifting probabilities.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi7+ 37%
5 23%
6 13%
3 9%
$14,023 Hac.
$14,023 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
0
2%
1
2%
2
6%
3
28%
4
9%
5
27%
6
21%
7+
37%
7+ 37%
5 23%
6 13%
3 9%
$14,023 Hac.
$14,023 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
0
$74 Hac.
2%
1
$348 Hac.
2%
2
$235 Hac.
6%
3
$45 Hac.
28%
4
$6,387 Hac.
9%
5
$804 Hac.
27%
6
$110 Hac.
21%
7+
$6,021 Hac.
37%
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37% probability for President Trump signing 7+ pieces of legislation into law in April, driven by expectations of accelerated congressional output in the session's latter half amid the 119th Congress's focus on bipartisan priorities ahead of midterms. As of April 16, only two bills have been enacted—S.1884 (Holocaust Expropriated Art Recovery Act of 2025) and S.3971 (Small Business Innovation and Economic Security Act)—both signed April 13, boosting the "3" outcome to 26% and nearby tallies like 5 (20%) and 6 (21%). This follows Trump's March threat to veto bills until passage of the SAVE Act, which lapsed without action, enabling narrow measures while major appropriations concluded earlier; few bills await signature, with House floor votes slated post-April 20 potentially shifting probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 24, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
Hacim
$14,023Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 4:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37% probability for President Trump signing 7+ pieces of legislation into law in April, driven by expectations of accelerated congressional output in the session's latter half amid the 119th Congress's focus on bipartisan priorities ahead of midterms. As of April 16, only two bills have been enacted—S.1884 (Holocaust Expropriated Art Recovery Act of 2025) and S.3971 (Small Business Innovation and Economic Security Act)—both signed April 13, boosting the "3" outcome to 26% and nearby tallies like 5 (20%) and 6 (21%). This follows Trump's March threat to veto bills until passage of the SAVE Act, which lapsed without action, enabling narrow measures while major appropriations concluded earlier; few bills await signature, with House floor votes slated post-April 20 potentially shifting probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President.
Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$14,023Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 24, 2026, 4:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 37% probability for President Trump signing 7+ pieces of legislation into law in April, driven by expectations of accelerated congressional output in the session's latter half amid the 119th Congress's focus on bipartisan priorities ahead of midterms. As of April 16, only two bills have been enacted—S.1884 (Holocaust Expropriated Art Recovery Act of 2025) and S.3971 (Small Business Innovation and Economic Security Act)—both signed April 13, boosting the "3" outcome to 26% and nearby tallies like 5 (20%) and 6 (21%). This follows Trump's March threat to veto bills until passage of the SAVE Act, which lapsed without action, enabling narrow measures while major appropriations concluded earlier; few bills await signature, with House floor votes slated post-April 20 potentially shifting probabilities.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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